| Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? |
No |
17,241 |
0.945 |
$16,293.05 |
$1,190.15 |
+7.9% |
| Will Trump's approval rating hit 35% in 2026? |
No |
20,663 |
0.635 |
$13,121.09 |
$20.46 |
+0.2% |
| Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? |
Yes |
43,931 |
0.143 |
$6,304.12 |
$2,629.94 |
+71.6% |
| Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? |
Yes |
403,711 |
0.015 |
$5,853.81 |
$-3,791.25 |
-39.3% |
| Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? |
Yes |
140,756 |
0.022 |
$3,096.62 |
$1,091.98 |
+54.5% |
| Will Trump's approval rating hit 30% in 2026? |
No |
2,718 |
0.915 |
$2,486.59 |
$90.60 |
+3.8% |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House |
Yes |
4,861 |
0.455 |
$2,211.81 |
$24.31 |
+1.1% |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House |
Yes |
4,982 |
0.395 |
$1,968.00 |
$152.55 |
+8.4% |
| Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? |
Yes |
31,726 |
0.052 |
$1,665.63 |
$537.16 |
+47.6% |
| US recession by end of 2026? |
No |
1,480 |
0.905 |
$1,339.74 |
$196.20 |
+17.2% |
| Will the S&P 500 have the best performance in 2026? |
Yes |
1,832 |
0.705 |
$1,291.33 |
$1,063.74 |
+467.4% |
| Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? |
Yes |
113,658 |
0.007 |
$852.44 |
$-284.15 |
-25.0% |
| Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026? |
No |
853 |
0.915 |
$780.32 |
$86.89 |
+12.5% |
| Will Count Binface get second place in the Clacton by-election? |
Yes |
777 |
0.970 |
$753.60 |
$290.14 |
+62.6% |
| Nigel Farage out as Reform UK leader in 2026? |
Yes |
3,201 |
0.215 |
$688.11 |
$23.90 |
+3.6% |
| Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? |
Yes |
51,091 |
0.013 |
$664.19 |
$-510.35 |
-43.5% |
| 5kt meteor strike in 2026? |
No |
824 |
0.725 |
$597.36 |
$193.41 |
+47.9% |
| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? |
Yes |
4,300 |
0.135 |
$580.50 |
$-59.49 |
-9.3% |
| Will Trump endorse JD Vance for president before 2027? |
No |
610 |
0.905 |
$552.37 |
$49.29 |
+9.8% |
| Nigel Farage out as Reform UK leader in 2026? |
No |
700 |
0.785 |
$549.49 |
$3.50 |
+0.6% |
| Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election? |
No |
37,861 |
0.013 |
$511.12 |
$-1,733.62 |
-77.2% |
| Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? |
Yes |
5,799 |
0.086 |
$495.79 |
$182.32 |
+58.2% |
| JD Vance out as VP by December 31? |
No |
500 |
0.945 |
$472.50 |
$2.50 |
+0.5% |
| Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026? |
No |
524 |
0.875 |
$458.59 |
$64.27 |
+16.3% |
| Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? |
Yes |
15,545 |
0.029 |
$458.58 |
$89.28 |
+24.2% |