PnL (30d)

+$252

Politics · last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

+$12

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

+8.7%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

94%

102W / 6L · 23 open

Win Return (30d)

92%

120W / 11L

Trades (30d)

131

across 18 markets · ~7 per market

EV / position

+$31.55

avg win $40 · loss $24

Profit Factor

11.45

$277 won / $24 lost

Reward / Risk

1.64

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$40

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	89.9% 124W/14L	38	$7,326
🏛 Politics	75.0% 9W/3L	5	$600
💵 Economy	75.0% 9W/3L	3	$558

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

27 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will Lucas Jumalon Win the 2026 WSOP Main Event?	Yes	95	0.605	$57.64	$0.48	+0.8%
Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?	Yes	695	0.065	$45.19	$-24.04	-34.7%
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House	Yes	103	0.395	$40.53	$2.56	+6.8%
Will the Bank of Japan announce no change at the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	54	0.585	$31.46	$-0.27	-0.8%
Will the Social Democratic Party (PSD) be included in the next Romanian government?	No	55	0.474	$26.07	$23.35	+859.5%
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	100	0.184	$18.45	$-4.50	-19.6%
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?	Yes	200	0.085	$17.00	$-5.00	-22.7%
Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?	No	100	0.135	$13.50	$-13.50	-50.0%
Will India strike Pakistan by December 31, 2026?	Yes	78	0.170	$13.29	$3.60	+37.2%
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	304	0.034	$10.32	$-47.29	-82.1%
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?	Yes	25	0.305	$7.62	$0.12	+1.7%
Will the ECB announce no change at the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	50	0.125	$6.25	$-4.75	-43.2%
Will Seattle Seahawks visit the White House in 2026?	Yes	20	0.230	$4.60	$-10.00	-68.5%
Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election?	Yes	230	0.013	$3.10	$-6.76	-68.6%
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	200	0.013	$2.50	$-0.10	-3.8%
Will Hassan Khomeini be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	Yes	300	0.005	$1.65	$-1.25	-43.1%
Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	41	0.005	$0.22	$-1.05	-82.4%
Will Jair Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	41	0.005	$0.20	$-1.07	-84.0%
Will Camilo Santana win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	41	0.003	$0.10	$-1.17	-92.0%
Will Tereza Cristina win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	41	0.002	$0.06	$-1.21	-95.2%
Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	41	0.002	$0.06	$-1.21	-95.2%
Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	41	0.002	$0.06	$-1.21	-95.2%
Joe Burrow traded to the Jets?	Yes	10	0.006	$0.06	$-1.14	-95.0%
Will Aldo Rebelo win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	41	0.001	$0.02	$-1.26	-98.4%
Will Helder Barbalho win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	41	0.001	$0.02	$-1.26	-98.4%