PnL (30d)

+$679

last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

+$49

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

+1.0%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

54%

2,407W / 2,065L · 692 open

Win Return (30d)

54%

2,781W / 2,337L · 46 open

Trades (30d)

5,164

across 1,635 markets · ~3 per market

EV / position

+$0.50

avg win $27 · loss $36

Profit Factor

1.03

$21,237 won / $20,559 lost

Reward / Risk

0.76

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$806

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	53.8% 2,407W/2,065L	1635	$79,964
₿ Crypto	52.2% 132W/121L	127	$1,951
🏛 Politics	100.0% 1W/0L	13	$280
💵 Economy	100.0% 1W/0L	2	$35
🎬 Culture	—	1	$8

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

200 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will the Democratic Party win the CA-51 House seat?	No	967	0.065	$62.85	$-4.83	-7.1%
Will India’s 2026 Annual Inflation be between 3.75% and 4.49%?	No	49	0.856	$41.62	$-0.81	-1.9%
Will the Democratic Party win the CA-48 House seat?	No	200	0.120	$24.00	$-4.00	-14.3%
Will the Democratic Party win the TX-20 House seat?	No	349	0.065	$22.67	$-5.23	-18.8%
Will the Democrats win the Arizona governor race in 2026?	No	100	0.215	$21.57	$-2.43	-10.1%
Will the Republicans win the New Mexico Senate race in 2026?	No	21	0.960	$20.15	$0.62	+3.2%
Will the Republican Party win the NY-02 House seat?	No	100	0.155	$15.50	$-11.50	-42.6%
Will the Democratic Party win the KS-03 House seat?	No	96	0.115	$11.01	$-2.93	-21.0%
Will the Democratic Party win the NJ-08 House seat?	No	200	0.055	$10.97	$-25.04	-69.5%
Will the Democratic Party win the FL-14 House seat?	No	26	0.405	$10.40	$-3.16	-23.3%
Will the Republican Party win the TX-04 House seat?	No	100	0.085	$8.50	$-1.17	-12.1%
Will the Republican Party win the TN-08 House seat?	No	100	0.080	$8.00	$-4.00	-33.3%
Will ACA premium tax credits not be extended and will the Democratic Party win the House in 2026?	No	44	0.180	$7.86	$-0.87	-10.0%
Will the Democratic Party win the GA-02 House seat?	No	100	0.075	$7.50	$-0.50	-6.2%
Will the Republican Party win the FL-05 House seat?	No	100	0.075	$7.50	$-4.50	-37.5%
Will the Republicans win the Alabama governor race in 2026?	No	101	0.071	$7.19	$-0.81	-10.2%
Will the Republican Party win the TX-30 House seat?	No	8	0.945	$7.10	$0.04	+0.5%
Will the Republican Party win the TX-08 House seat?	No	109	0.065	$7.09	$-4.91	-40.9%
Will the Democratic Party win the IL-14 House seat?	No	100	0.070	$6.98	$-0.02	-0.2%
Will Elaine Pelino win the 2026 Rhode Island Governor Republican primary election?	No	19	0.365	$6.97	$-4.41	-38.8%
Will the Republican Party win the TN-02 House seat?	No	100	0.065	$6.50	$-0.50	-7.1%
Will the Republican Party win the TN-01 House seat?	No	100	0.065	$6.50	$-0.50	-7.1%
Will the Democratic Party win the CO-07 House seat?	No	100	0.065	$6.50	$-1.50	-18.8%
Will the Republican Party win the MO-08 House seat?	No	100	0.065	$6.50	$-0.50	-7.1%
Will the Democratic Party win the OR-03 House seat?	No	100	0.065	$6.50	$-0.50	-7.1%