| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? |
Yes |
2,700 |
0.865 |
$2,335.09 |
$135.10 |
+6.1% |
| Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election? |
Yes |
3,378 |
0.595 |
$2,009.62 |
$-15.37 |
-0.8% |
| Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? |
No |
2,028 |
0.977 |
$1,980.60 |
$134.10 |
+7.3% |
| Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? |
No |
1,898 |
0.945 |
$1,793.52 |
$276.27 |
+18.2% |
| Will the Democrats win the Illinois Senate race in 2026? |
Yes |
1,597 |
0.942 |
$1,504.14 |
$14.06 |
+0.9% |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? |
No |
1,544 |
0.961 |
$1,482.80 |
$82.80 |
+5.9% |
| Will GameStop acquire eBay? |
No |
1,637 |
0.875 |
$1,432.15 |
$34.96 |
+2.5% |
| US takes Panama Canal before 2027? |
No |
1,415 |
0.960 |
$1,357.27 |
$82.27 |
+6.5% |
| Will the Democrats win the Michigan governor race in 2026? |
Yes |
1,483 |
0.840 |
$1,245.81 |
$187.44 |
+17.7% |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? |
No |
1,321 |
0.935 |
$1,234.95 |
$616.78 |
+99.8% |
| US strike on Mexico by December 31? |
No |
1,332 |
0.905 |
$1,205.06 |
$275.06 |
+29.6% |
| US military draft authorized in 2026? |
No |
1,229 |
0.954 |
$1,171.66 |
$63.67 |
+5.7% |
| Will Ned Lamont win the 2026 Connecticut Governor Democratic primary election? |
Yes |
1,029 |
0.984 |
$1,012.16 |
$136.97 |
+15.7% |
| Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election? |
Yes |
1,018 |
0.987 |
$1,004.30 |
$54.30 |
+5.7% |
| Will Ed Markey be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Massachusetts? |
Yes |
1,164 |
0.790 |
$919.92 |
$14.53 |
+1.6% |
| Will John E. Sununu be the Republican nominee for Senate in New Hampshire? |
Yes |
946 |
0.959 |
$906.60 |
$55.60 |
+6.5% |
| Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? |
No |
896 |
0.957 |
$857.90 |
$62.20 |
+7.8% |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31? |
No |
1,100 |
0.745 |
$819.60 |
$103.71 |
+14.5% |
| Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? |
No |
865 |
0.945 |
$817.01 |
$21.76 |
+2.7% |
| Sanae Takaichi out as Prime Minister of Japan in 2026? |
No |
885 |
0.910 |
$805.28 |
$27.43 |
+3.5% |
| Will the Democrats win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026? |
Yes |
934 |
0.835 |
$780.12 |
$-5.58 |
-0.7% |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by December 31? |
No |
800 |
0.964 |
$771.55 |
$41.55 |
+5.7% |
| Will Count Binface get second place in the Clacton by-election? |
Yes |
764 |
0.966 |
$738.04 |
$217.44 |
+41.8% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the MI-06 House seat? |
Yes |
760 |
0.935 |
$710.32 |
$10.32 |
+1.5% |
| Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026? |
No |
791 |
0.875 |
$692.22 |
$56.97 |
+9.0% |