Trader
0xf6857eba0c9bce4ba4a0a7bc800cc7d7a1c95ec9
Scoped to Weather — every figure below is this category, last 30 days.
← All markets
PnL (30d)
−$160
Weather · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
$0
no open positions
ROI (30d)
-1.7%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
80%
108W / 27L
Win Return (30d)
80%
108W / 27L
Trades (30d)
135
across 55 markets · ~2 per market
EV / position
−$2.91
avg win $6 · loss $36
Profit Factor
0.63
$274 won / $434 lost
Reward / Risk
0.18
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$100
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $2,531 · all-time $352,843
By category last 30d
click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
| Category |
Win Resolved (per trade) |
Markets |
Volume |
|
🌐 All markets
|
79.4%
396W/103L
|
225 |
$54,431 |
|
🌤 Weather
|
75.0%
3W/1L
|
2 |
$919 |
Equity curve
realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure
Open positions
2 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
| Market |
Outcome |
Size |
Cur. price |
Current value |
Cash PnL |
% |
| Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 37°C on August 5? |
Yes |
116 |
0.001 |
$0.06 |
$-99.94 |
-99.9% |
| Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 38°C on August 5? |
No |
109 |
0.001 |
$0.05 |
$-99.95 |
-99.9% |