Log in
Trader leaderboard/danisiq

danisiq

0xf65149834dae083660b089a6223efc942c5886b1
Scoped to Weather — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
−$4
Weather · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
−$2
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-0.7%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
81%
193W / 45L · 9 open
Win Return (30d)
81%
195W / 47L · 5 open
Trades (30d)
247
across 150 markets · ~2 per market
EV / position
−$0.03
avg win $1 · loss $4
Profit Factor
0.96
$98 won / $102 lost
Reward / Risk
0.23
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$13
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $6,562 · all-time $74,193

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 81.3% 763W/175L 668 $6,371
🌤 Weather 90.9% 60W/6L 41 $312
₿ Crypto 87.5% 21W/3L 22 $484
🏛 Politics 100.0% 1W/0L 6 $21
🎬 Culture 100.0% 1W/0L 1 $10

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

28 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Yes 145 0.073 $10.68 $-0.32 -2.9%
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on August 6? Yes 10 0.565 $5.65 $0.45 +8.6%
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 35°C on August 6? No 5 0.985 $4.92 $0.32 +7.1%
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 90-91°F on August 5? No 5 0.985 $4.92 $0.23 +4.8%
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 27°C on August 5? No 5 0.975 $4.88 $0.67 +16.1%
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 31°C on August 5? No 5 0.965 $4.83 $0.03 +0.5%
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 29°C on August 5? No 5 0.965 $4.83 $0.07 +1.6%
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 82-83°F on August 5? No 5 0.960 $4.79 $0.35 +7.8%
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 35°C or higher on August 6? No 5 0.947 $4.73 $0.03 +0.7%
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 30°C on August 5? No 5 0.945 $4.72 $0.03 +0.5%
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 26°C on August 6? No 5 0.945 $4.72 $-0.03 -0.5%
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 25°C on August 6? No 5 0.930 $4.65 $0.00 +0.0%
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 36°C on August 6? No 5 0.920 $4.60 $-0.15 -3.2%
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 34°C on August 6? No 5 0.905 $4.53 $-0.02 -0.5%
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 37°C or higher on August 6? No 5 0.903 $4.52 $-0.08 -1.8%
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 35°C on August 6? No 5 0.899 $4.50 $-0.05 -1.2%
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 86-87°F on August 5? No 5 0.890 $4.45 $-0.30 -6.3%
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 38°C on August 6? No 5 0.880 $4.40 $-0.15 -3.3%
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 31°C on August 6? No 5 0.880 $4.40 $0.00 +0.0%
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 88-89°F on August 5? No 5 0.875 $4.38 $-0.12 -2.8%
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 31°C on August 6? No 5 0.855 $4.28 $-0.02 -0.6%
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 38°C or higher on August 6? No 5 0.830 $4.15 $-0.40 -8.8%
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Yes 15 0.259 $3.88 $-1.12 -22.4%
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 88-89°F on August 5? No 5 0.770 $3.85 $-0.40 -9.4%
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 32°C on August 5? Yes 5 0.720 $3.60 $0.85 +30.9%