| Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 15? |
No |
6 |
0.981 |
$5.66 |
$0.41 |
+7.7% |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 7, 2026? |
No |
5 |
0.988 |
$4.94 |
$0.16 |
+3.4% |
| Israel withdraws from Lebanon by August 31, 2026? |
No |
5 |
0.989 |
$4.94 |
$0.10 |
+2.0% |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in August? |
No |
5 |
0.985 |
$4.92 |
$0.27 |
+5.9% |
| Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor? |
No |
5 |
0.980 |
$4.89 |
$0.10 |
+2.1% |
| Iran leadership change by August 31? |
No |
5 |
0.977 |
$4.88 |
$0.14 |
+3.0% |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026? |
No |
5 |
0.976 |
$4.88 |
$0.28 |
+6.1% |
| Will United Russia (ER) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? |
Yes |
5 |
0.977 |
$4.88 |
$0.10 |
+2.0% |
| Will Iran target Ukraine by August 31, 2026? |
No |
5 |
0.975 |
$4.87 |
$0.07 |
+1.4% |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? |
No |
5 |
0.973 |
$4.87 |
$0.26 |
+5.7% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15? |
No |
5 |
0.968 |
$4.85 |
$0.05 |
+1.1% |
| Will Ethereum reach $2,200 August 3-9? |
No |
5 |
0.970 |
$4.85 |
$-0.04 |
-0.8% |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31? |
No |
5 |
0.966 |
$4.83 |
$0.23 |
+5.0% |
| Will Chaz Molder be the TN-05 Democratic nominee? |
Yes |
5 |
0.964 |
$4.82 |
$0.02 |
+0.4% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the TN-01 House seat? |
No |
5 |
0.960 |
$4.79 |
$-0.05 |
-1.0% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the CA-04 House seat? |
Yes |
5 |
0.955 |
$4.77 |
$0.17 |
+3.8% |
| NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026? |
No |
5 |
0.951 |
$4.75 |
$0.14 |
+3.0% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the MA-08 House seat? |
Yes |
5 |
0.950 |
$4.75 |
$0.10 |
+2.1% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the MD-05 House seat? |
Yes |
5 |
0.945 |
$4.72 |
$-0.03 |
-0.5% |
| Will the Republican Party win the TX-33 House seat? |
No |
5 |
0.945 |
$4.72 |
$0.07 |
+1.6% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 9? |
Yes |
5 |
0.945 |
$4.72 |
$0.17 |
+3.8% |
| Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? |
Yes |
5 |
0.940 |
$4.71 |
$0.03 |
+0.6% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the WA-09 House seat? |
Yes |
5 |
0.935 |
$4.67 |
$0.02 |
+0.5% |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of August 2026? |
Yes |
5 |
0.935 |
$4.67 |
$-0.12 |
-2.6% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $68,000 August 3-9? |
No |
5 |
0.935 |
$4.67 |
$0.02 |
+0.5% |