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Trader leaderboard/0xF5ed80c910a7b5E6044fF8eD48271B9C2B050CE8-1778596709817

0xF5ed80c910a7b5E6044fF8eD48271B9C2B050CE8-1778596709817

0xf5ed80c910a7b5e6044ff8ed48271b9c2b050ce8
PnL (30d)
−$403
last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
−$108
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-11.2%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
26%
124W / 355L · 310 open
Win Return (30d)
31%
240W / 532L · 17 open
Trades (30d)
789
across 158 markets · ~5 per market
EV / position
−$4.42
avg win $5 · loss $8
Profit Factor
0.24
$129 won / $531 lost
Reward / Risk
0.61
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$190
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $2,090 · all-time $51,794

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 25.9% 124W/355L 158 $6,370
🎬 Culture 16.7% 10W/50L 13 $448
⚽ Sports 10 $161
💵 Economy 14.3% 4W/24L 10 $303

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

20 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will China's CPI increase by between 0.9% and 1.0% over the 12 month period ending in July 2026? No 44 0.750 $33.00 $0.00 +0.0%
Will Germany GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 0.1% and 0.3%? No 22 0.941 $20.70 $0.46 +2.3%
Will China's CPI increase by between 1.1% and 1.2% over the 12 month period ending in July 2026? No 22 0.685 $15.07 $-0.77 -4.9%
Will Germany GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 0.7% and 0.9%? No 22 0.660 $14.52 $-1.32 -8.3%
Will China's CPI increase by between 0.7% and 0.8% over the 12 month period ending in July 2026? Yes 22 0.405 $8.91 $1.21 +15.7%
Will the Biggest Pot at the Final Table Be 250m+ Chips? No 22 0.185 $4.07 $-4.51 -52.6%
Will China's CPI increase by ≤0.6% over the 12 month period ending in July 2026? Yes 44 0.077 $3.39 $-2.00 -37.1%
Will "End of Beginning – Djo" be the #2 song for 2026? Yes 22 0.145 $3.19 $-6.93 -68.5%
Will Tarsier Pharma not IPO before September 2026? No 98 0.016 $1.57 $-29.70 -95.0%
Will Tarsier Pharma's market cap be between $250M and $300M at market close on IPO day? Yes 95 0.013 $1.19 $-7.92 -86.9%
Will Tarsier Pharma's market cap be between $300M and $350M at market close on IPO day? Yes 103 0.009 $0.98 $-2.47 -71.6%
Will Angie Craig win the Minnesota Senate Democratic primary by 5–10%? Yes 22 0.040 $0.87 $-0.01 -1.2%
Will Tarsier Pharma's market cap be between $350M and $400M at market close on IPO day? Yes 112 0.007 $0.78 $-3.08 -79.7%
Will Tarsier Pharma's market cap be between $400M and $450M at market close on IPO day? Yes 50 0.009 $0.47 $0.37 +374.9%
Will Angie Craig win the Minnesota Senate Democratic primary by 15–20%? Yes 22 0.019 $0.42 $-0.24 -36.7%
Will Tarsier Pharma's market cap be less than $250M at market close on IPO day? Yes 50 0.007 $0.37 $0.22 +149.9%
Will Angie Craig win the Minnesota Senate Democratic primary by less than 5%? Yes 3 0.087 $0.25 $-0.21 -45.7%
Will Angie Craig win the Minnesota Senate Democratic primary by 10–15%? Yes 22 0.007 $0.15 $-0.29 -65.0%
Will Gary Oldman – “Slow Horses” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding lead actor in a drama series? Yes 1 0.032 $0.03 $0.00 +5.0%
Will Tarsier Pharma's market cap be greater than $450M at market close on IPO day? Yes 30 0.001 $0.01 $-0.04 -75.0%