| Will United Russia win 355 or more seats in the next Russian State Duma election? |
Yes |
3,956 |
0.115 |
$454.95 |
$-277.25 |
-37.9% |
| Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? |
No |
2,241 |
0.145 |
$324.97 |
$-164.59 |
-33.6% |
| Will United Russia win between 340 and 354 seats in the next Russian State Duma election? |
Yes |
1,151 |
0.215 |
$247.46 |
$-3.15 |
-1.3% |
| Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? |
No |
259 |
0.785 |
$203.17 |
$116.87 |
+135.4% |
| Will Rafael Grossi be the next Secretary-General of the United Nations? |
Yes |
402 |
0.410 |
$164.88 |
$26.55 |
+19.2% |
| Will New People (NL) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? |
Yes |
1,360 |
0.115 |
$156.39 |
$-32.75 |
-17.3% |
| Will Partido Liberal (PL) hold the most seats in the Brazilian Chamber of Deputies after the 2026 election? |
No |
549 |
0.255 |
$140.11 |
$0.51 |
+0.4% |
| Kadyrov out as Head of the Chechen Republic by December 31, 2026? |
Yes |
776 |
0.125 |
$96.94 |
$-111.91 |
-53.6% |
| Will Partido Liberal (PL) win the most seats in the next Brazilian Senate election? |
No |
327 |
0.255 |
$83.30 |
$40.83 |
+96.2% |
| Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? |
Yes |
1,603 |
0.046 |
$74.54 |
$-6.12 |
-7.6% |
| Ukraine election held by December 31, 2026? |
Yes |
1,220 |
0.060 |
$73.20 |
$-191.72 |
-72.4% |
| Will the 2026 Guinea-Bissau constitutional referendum pass? |
Yes |
82 |
0.885 |
$72.57 |
$40.40 |
+125.6% |
| Will Trump meet with Aleksandr Lukashenko in 2026? |
Yes |
298 |
0.225 |
$67.13 |
$18.84 |
+39.0% |
| Will less than 5 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026? |
Yes |
201 |
0.320 |
$64.36 |
$40.85 |
+173.7% |
| Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election? |
Yes |
4,539 |
0.013 |
$61.27 |
$-154.93 |
-71.7% |
| Will the number of votes cast in the 2026 Clacton by-election be between 30,000-40,000? |
Yes |
275 |
0.220 |
$60.44 |
$23.92 |
+65.5% |
| Will BRICS add a new member in 2026? |
No |
65 |
0.900 |
$58.07 |
$43.42 |
+296.4% |
| Will Marine Le Pen be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? |
No |
383 |
0.150 |
$57.39 |
$14.21 |
+32.9% |
| Moscow air traffic suspended by August 31? |
No |
91 |
0.550 |
$50.10 |
$40.08 |
+400.0% |
| Will Frank Klingebiel win the next Salzgitter mayoral election? |
No |
399 |
0.110 |
$43.86 |
$-31.61 |
-41.9% |
| X banned in any European country by December 31? |
Yes |
267 |
0.160 |
$42.65 |
$-10.25 |
-19.4% |
| Will United Bangsamoro Justice Party (UBJP) win the most seats in the 2026 BARMM Parliamentary Elections? |
Yes |
119 |
0.345 |
$40.95 |
$-6.26 |
-13.3% |
| Will Ukraine win Junior Eurovision 2026? |
Yes |
136 |
0.295 |
$40.18 |
$29.43 |
+273.9% |
| Will a country leave BRICS in 2026? |
Yes |
479 |
0.081 |
$38.53 |
$-1.63 |
-4.1% |
| Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election? |
No |
2,168 |
0.013 |
$29.27 |
$-45.65 |
-60.9% |