| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2? |
Yes |
667 |
0.999 |
$666.21 |
$195.46 |
+41.5% |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? |
Yes |
510 |
0.850 |
$432.95 |
$72.05 |
+20.0% |
| Iran leadership change by September 30? |
No |
456 |
0.945 |
$431.02 |
$23.61 |
+5.8% |
| Will ANSEM flip PUMP by December 31, 2026? |
No |
433 |
0.940 |
$406.79 |
$43.34 |
+11.9% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 4? |
Yes |
232 |
0.999 |
$231.77 |
$88.85 |
+62.2% |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? |
Yes |
226 |
0.865 |
$195.61 |
$5.65 |
+3.0% |
| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? |
No |
213 |
0.865 |
$184.57 |
$5.33 |
+3.0% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 3? |
Yes |
167 |
0.999 |
$166.99 |
$60.38 |
+56.6% |
| Iran leadership change by December 31? |
No |
163 |
0.855 |
$139.22 |
$23.61 |
+20.4% |
| Israel closes its airspace by August 31? |
No |
145 |
0.885 |
$128.66 |
$42.07 |
+48.6% |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in August? |
No |
286 |
0.380 |
$108.54 |
$-50.65 |
-31.8% |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House |
Yes |
208 |
0.455 |
$94.56 |
$3.12 |
+3.4% |
| Israel closes its airspace by August 15? |
No |
73 |
0.930 |
$68.10 |
$23.92 |
+54.1% |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by September 30? |
No |
48 |
0.885 |
$42.88 |
$0.73 |
+1.7% |