Log in
Trader leaderboard/PoliAlespolign

PoliAlespolign

0xf5b057f8286fa8d986f131522f314bac737e38c4
PnL (30d)
+$1
last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$1
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
+1.2%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
61%
33W / 21L · 180 open
Win Return (30d)
64%
129W / 72L · 33 open
Trades (30d)
234
across 36 markets · ~6 per market
EV / position
+$0.10
avg win $0 · loss $0
Profit Factor
1.67
$4 won / $2 lost
Reward / Risk
1.46
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$0
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $48 · all-time $130,256

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 61.1% 33W/21L 36 $232
🏛 Politics 100.0% 2W/0L 7 $38
💵 Economy 100.0% 2W/0L 2 $4

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

20 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No 46 0.935 $43.30 $2.10 +5.1%
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No 11 0.925 $10.09 $0.47 +4.9%
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026? No 6 0.885 $5.17 $0.09 +1.7%
Cuban regime falls in 2026? No 4 0.895 $3.78 $0.27 +7.8%
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No 4 0.835 $3.36 $0.06 +1.8%
US announces withdrawal from Al Udeid Air Base by Sep 30? No 3 0.969 $2.84 $0.08 +3.0%
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026? No 4 0.775 $2.75 $0.37 +15.7%
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027? No 3 0.895 $2.71 $0.17 +6.5%
Iran leadership change by September 30? No 2 0.945 $1.93 $0.05 +2.7%
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027? No 2 0.875 $1.88 $0.06 +3.4%
Iran leadership change by December 31? No 2 0.855 $1.77 $0.26 +17.1%
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by December 31, 2026? No 2 0.875 $1.56 $0.24 +18.2%
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? Yes 2 0.785 $1.49 $0.07 +4.7%
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2? Yes 1 1.000 $1.34 $0.31 +29.8%
Jeffrey Epstein foul play confirmed by December 31, 2026? No 1 0.974 $1.32 $0.07 +5.4%
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No 3 0.385 $1.29 $-0.15 -10.4%
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes 1 0.823 $1.20 $-0.01 -0.4%
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? Yes 3 0.195 $0.68 $-0.36 -35.0%
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? Yes 3 0.165 $0.45 $0.07 +17.8%
Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting? Yes 1 0.115 $0.17 $-0.46 -73.2%