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Trader leaderboard/muddyrc

muddyrc

0xf58b1c1340d6f8c0871e8ea8ee7b80ec6b8a5f34
Scoped to Economy — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
+$0
Economy · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$19
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
+0.0%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
no 30d activity
Win Return (30d)
100%
3W / 0L
Trades (30d)
3
across 2 markets · ~2 per market
EV / position
no settled positions
Profit Factor
no losses yet
Reward / Risk
need wins & losses
Max Drawdown
$0
no drawdown
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $3,195 · all-time $1,012,501

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 48.1% 13W/14L 22 $8,398
₿ Crypto 3 $685
💵 Economy 2 $213
🤖 Tech 2 $469

Open positions

21 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? No 1,700 0.942 $1,600.53 $20.46 +1.3%
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No 1,400 0.956 $1,338.40 $53.70 +4.2%
Will Hyperliquid perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026? No 1,340 0.880 $1,179.27 $306.93 +35.2%
Will Israel reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026? No 800 0.989 $791.18 $118.20 +17.6%
Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch? Yes 800 0.765 $611.99 $98.00 +19.1%
Will Revolut launch a USD stablecoin in 2026? Yes 1,430 0.335 $479.05 $-301.30 -38.6%
Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027? Yes 500 0.850 $425.00 $-20.00 -4.5%
Will The Democrats win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No 400 1.000 $399.77 $19.40 +5.1%
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes 847 0.325 $275.14 $-61.81 -18.3%
Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026? No 300 0.895 $268.50 $85.50 +46.7%
Will Israel strike 6 countries in 2026? No 266 0.917 $243.92 $15.29 +6.7%
Ink FDV above $1B one day after launch? No 200 0.895 $179.00 $25.00 +16.2%
Ink FDV above $500M one day after launch? No 200 0.830 $166.00 $60.00 +56.6%
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes 2,374 0.065 $154.32 $-505.51 -76.6%
Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch? No 200 0.555 $111.00 $-41.00 -27.0%
Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No 145 0.685 $99.00 $5.06 +5.4%
Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026? No 72 0.815 $58.87 $28.52 +94.0%
Variational FDV above $2B one day after launch? Yes 295 0.143 $42.36 $9.59 +29.3%
Will Apple release iPhone 18 in 2026? No 800 0.030 $24.40 $0.87 +3.7%
Will Clavicular wear a Yarmulke in 2026? Yes 132 0.170 $22.47 $-45.76 -67.1%
Will Together win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? Yes 228 0.011 $2.39 $-73.88 -96.9%