newguy666
0xf579036e211211ab1d5d944f1665c394d5959989
Scoped to Economy — every figure below is this category, last 30 days.
← All markets
PnL (30d)
+$1,077
Economy · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$294
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
+3.9%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
65%
48W / 26L · 42 open
Win Return (30d)
59%
69W / 47L
Trades (30d)
116
across 19 markets · ~6 per market
EV / position
+$89.74
avg win $262 · loss $254
Profit Factor
2.06
$2,094 won / $1,017 lost
Reward / Risk
1.03
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$8
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $4,895 · all-time $1,166,314
By category last 30d
click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
| Category |
Win Resolved (per trade) |
Markets |
Volume |
|
🌐 All markets
|
64.7%
253W/138L
|
121 |
$64,356 |
|
₿ Crypto
|
66.7%
6W/3L
|
11 |
$4,900 |
|
💵 Economy
|
66.7%
6W/3L
|
10 |
$4,890 |
Equity curve
realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure
Open positions
8 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
| Market |
Outcome |
Size |
Cur. price |
Current value |
Cash PnL |
% |
| Fed rate hike in 2026? |
Yes |
16,231 |
0.625 |
$10,144.16 |
$-595.47 |
-5.5% |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $80 in August? |
Yes |
1,580 |
0.670 |
$1,058.93 |
$79.02 |
+8.1% |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in August? |
No |
650 |
0.971 |
$631.24 |
$85.66 |
+15.7% |
| Squid FDV above $75M one day after launch |
Yes |
355 |
0.974 |
$345.78 |
$83.07 |
+31.6% |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in August? |
No |
359 |
0.735 |
$263.56 |
$-4.86 |
-1.8% |
| Squid FDV above $100M one day after launch |
No |
529 |
0.335 |
$177.18 |
$-7.48 |
-4.1% |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in August? |
No |
130 |
0.985 |
$128.01 |
$11.40 |
+9.8% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? |
Yes |
17 |
0.545 |
$9.40 |
$-0.60 |
-6.0% |