AMo
0xf562eeafb9acee72ec28e335ca7307fc54ed4099
Scoped to Politics — every figure below is this category, last 30 days.
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PnL (30d)
+$79
Politics · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$75
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
+10.9%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
90%
9W / 1L · 8 open
Win Return (30d)
83%
15W / 3L
Trades (30d)
18
across 7 markets · ~3 per market
EV / position
+$19.80
avg win $28 · loss $5
Profit Factor
17.30
$84 won / $5 lost
Reward / Risk
5.77
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
$0
no drawdown
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $8,767 · all-time $1,018,933
By category last 30d
click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Equity curve
realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure
Open positions
7 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
| Market |
Outcome |
Size |
Cur. price |
Current value |
Cash PnL |
% |
| Will USD fall to 1.6M Iranian rials by August 31? |
No |
1,141 |
0.920 |
$1,049.37 |
$-29.61 |
-2.7% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? |
No |
930 |
0.695 |
$646.37 |
$-4.74 |
-0.7% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026? |
No |
600 |
0.541 |
$324.90 |
$17.10 |
+5.6% |
| Will USD fall to 1.7M Iranian rials by August 31? |
No |
240 |
0.870 |
$208.45 |
$-5.01 |
-2.3% |
| Will a European country take military action on Iran by August 31? |
Yes |
978 |
0.018 |
$17.11 |
$-40.08 |
-70.1% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? |
No |
250 |
0.065 |
$16.25 |
$-3.75 |
-18.8% |
| Will Mohammad-Bagher Ghalibaf be head of state in Iran end of 2026? |
Yes |
586 |
0.006 |
$3.81 |
$-14.80 |
-79.5% |