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Trader leaderboard/0xf5166922982D598Ec6e4cBc405DE29e44342AC9F-1774467438758

0xf5166922982D598Ec6e4cBc405DE29e44342AC9F-1774467438758

0xf5166922982d598ec6e4cbc405de29e44342ac9f
Scoped to Politics — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
+$4
Politics · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$1
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
+9.0%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
100%
4W / 0L · 6 open
Win Return (30d)
100%
10W / 0L
Trades (30d)
10
across 6 markets · ~2 per market
EV / position
+$1.99
avg win $2
Profit Factor
no losses yet
Reward / Risk
need wins & losses
Max Drawdown
$0
no drawdown
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $40 · all-time $44,499

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 78.7% 48W/13L 54 $324
🏛 Politics 1 $5
🎬 Culture 1 $4
⚽ Sports 100.0% 1W/0L 1 $4

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

16 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No 15 0.935 $14.03 $0.53 +3.9%
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31? No 10 0.981 $9.82 $0.08 +0.8%
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? No 10 0.972 $9.68 $0.08 +0.8%
Will Count Binface get second place in the Clacton by-election? Yes 10 0.966 $9.66 $1.16 +13.6%
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? No 10 0.905 $9.04 $0.25 +2.8%
Will Nigel Farage get second place in the Clacton by-election? No 5 0.989 $4.92 $0.02 +0.5%
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? No 7 0.705 $4.90 $-0.10 -2.1%
Iran leadership change by August 31? No 5 0.977 $4.88 $0.18 +3.8%
Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2026? No 5 0.966 $4.83 $-0.01 -0.2%
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No 5 0.945 $4.72 $0.07 +1.6%
Kazakhstan Kurultai Election: Adilet Wins Majority? Yes 5 0.945 $4.72 $-0.12 -2.6%
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No 5 0.835 $4.17 $0.03 +0.6%
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? No 5 0.835 $4.17 $-0.17 -4.0%
SAVE Act becomes law by December 31, 2026? No 4 0.860 $3.85 $0.85 +28.4%
Will Julianne Moore win Best Actress at the 99th Academy Awards? No 5 0.705 $3.52 $-0.02 -0.7%
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? No 5 0.635 $3.17 $-0.42 -11.8%