poposd
0xf5124e19272b93edfc237d70512058023ebb0985
Scoped to Politics — every figure below is this category, last 30 days.
← All markets
PnL (30d)
−$348
Politics · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
−$15
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-43.2%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
78%
171W / 47L · 56 open
Win Return (30d)
76%
183W / 58L · 33 open
Trades (30d)
274
across 38 markets · ~7 per market
EV / position
−$12.87
avg win $2 · loss $56
Profit Factor
0.11
$45 won / $393 lost
Reward / Risk
0.04
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
$0
no drawdown
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $6,909 · all-time $110,452
By category last 30d
click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Equity curve
realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure
Open positions
6 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
| Market |
Outcome |
Size |
Cur. price |
Current value |
Cash PnL |
% |
| Will Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from August 4 to August 11, 2026? |
Yes |
2,836 |
0.032 |
$89.33 |
$-247.94 |
-73.5% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? |
No |
113 |
0.385 |
$43.38 |
$-12.96 |
-23.0% |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? |
Yes |
101 |
0.225 |
$22.73 |
$-2.52 |
-10.0% |
| Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by August 31? |
No |
10 |
0.925 |
$9.44 |
$0.00 |
+0.0% |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to between 20 and 40 years in prison? |
Yes |
51 |
0.073 |
$3.73 |
$-2.60 |
-41.1% |
| Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by September 30? |
Yes |
21 |
0.130 |
$2.73 |
$-2.73 |
-50.0% |