PnL (30d)

−$302

last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

+$1,693

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

-0.8%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

45%

103W / 124L · 220 open

Win Return (30d)

69%

308W / 139L

Trades (30d)

447

across 23 markets · ~19 per market

EV / position

−$18.90

avg win $155 · loss $402

Profit Factor

0.85

$1,708 won / $2,011 lost

Reward / Risk

0.39

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$119

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	45.4% 103W/124L	23	$71,299
💵 Economy	0.0% 0W/3L	4	$13,510
🏛 Politics	0.0% 0W/3L	2	$6,127

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

3 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will the Bank of Israel make no change to the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the September decision?	Yes	919	0.825	$758.07	$103.91	+15.9%
Will the Bank of Israel hold at the August 2026 meeting?	Yes	965	0.725	$699.74	$9.19	+1.3%
Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?	Yes	189	0.625	$118.26	$0.67	+0.6%