| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? |
No |
50 |
0.935 |
$46.75 |
$5.75 |
+14.0% |
| Kash Patel out by December 31? |
No |
50 |
0.790 |
$39.58 |
$13.73 |
+53.1% |
| Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? |
No |
47 |
0.835 |
$39.01 |
$11.91 |
+44.0% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026? |
Yes |
40 |
0.225 |
$9.00 |
$-3.80 |
-29.7% |
| GMGN FDV above $200M one day after launch |
Yes |
20 |
0.445 |
$8.90 |
$-3.10 |
-25.8% |
| Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026? |
Yes |
25 |
0.278 |
$6.93 |
$3.96 |
+133.2% |
| Will a Chinese company have one of the top 3 AI models by December 31? |
Yes |
15 |
0.430 |
$6.45 |
$4.65 |
+258.3% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026? |
No |
20 |
0.315 |
$6.30 |
$-6.10 |
-49.2% |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? |
No |
23 |
0.215 |
$4.94 |
$-5.17 |
-51.1% |
| Will Pablo Picasso be #1 in global fine art auction turnover for 2026? |
Yes |
8 |
0.515 |
$4.12 |
$2.52 |
+157.5% |
| US military draft authorized in 2026? |
Yes |
80 |
0.046 |
$3.72 |
$-3.48 |
-48.3% |
| Will Trump say "Death to America" in August? |
No |
5 |
0.730 |
$3.65 |
$-0.20 |
-5.2% |
| Will Trump say "Marxist" in August? |
Yes |
5 |
0.690 |
$3.45 |
$-0.30 |
-8.0% |
| Will another artist be #1 in global fine art auction turnover for 2026? |
Yes |
6 |
0.465 |
$2.79 |
$0.99 |
+55.0% |
| Will a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31? |
Yes |
21 |
0.095 |
$1.97 |
$-0.31 |
-13.6% |
| Will Trump say "Antifa" in August? |
Yes |
6 |
0.120 |
$0.72 |
$-0.42 |
-36.8% |
| Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of August 2026? |
No |
7 |
0.075 |
$0.53 |
$-1.08 |
-67.4% |
| Will Count Binface get second place in the Clacton by-election? |
No |
5 |
0.034 |
$0.17 |
$-1.33 |
-88.7% |
| Will Andy Warhol be #1 in global fine art auction turnover for 2026? |
Yes |
8 |
0.003 |
$0.02 |
$-0.54 |
-96.4% |