PnL (30d)

−$12

Politics · last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

−$6

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

-12.1%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

55%

27W / 22L · 184 open

Win Return (30d)

80%

186W / 47L

Trades (30d)

233

across 7 markets · ~33 per market

EV / position

−$2.33

avg win $16 · loss $7

Profit Factor

0.59

$16 won / $28 lost

Reward / Risk

2.34

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

$0

no drawdown

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	31.5% 51W/111L	28	$415
🏛 Politics	—	2	$14

Open positions

3 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will Francesca Hong win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary by at least 30%?	Yes	14	0.195	$2.79	$-2.21	-44.3%
Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?	No	306	0.004	$1.07	$-54.73	-98.1%
Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?	Yes	24	0.004	$0.08	$-6.20	-98.7%