| Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027? |
No |
519 |
0.075 |
$38.89 |
$5.19 |
+15.4% |
| Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? |
Yes |
620 |
0.055 |
$34.10 |
$-42.90 |
-55.7% |
| China x Japan military clash before 2027? |
Yes |
340 |
0.085 |
$28.90 |
$-1.70 |
-5.6% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? |
Yes |
173 |
0.165 |
$28.57 |
$6.77 |
+31.0% |
| Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2026? |
Yes |
220 |
0.125 |
$27.50 |
$15.00 |
+120.0% |
| US takes Panama Canal before 2027? |
Yes |
600 |
0.043 |
$25.74 |
$-61.26 |
-70.4% |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? |
Yes |
125 |
0.195 |
$24.38 |
$-8.02 |
-24.8% |
| Will Hezbollah disarm by December 31? |
Yes |
200 |
0.120 |
$24.01 |
$-1.15 |
-4.6% |
| US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine before 2027? |
Yes |
219 |
0.085 |
$18.60 |
$-8.00 |
-30.1% |
| Trump out as President before 2027? |
Yes |
240 |
0.065 |
$15.60 |
$-9.80 |
-38.6% |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? |
No |
90 |
0.150 |
$13.54 |
$-14.25 |
-51.3% |
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? |
Yes |
157 |
0.075 |
$11.75 |
$-4.15 |
-26.1% |
| Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027? |
Yes |
90 |
0.125 |
$11.25 |
$2.25 |
+25.0% |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? |
Yes |
160 |
0.065 |
$10.40 |
$-22.10 |
-68.0% |
| Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by August 15? |
No |
40 |
0.230 |
$9.20 |
$-0.40 |
-4.2% |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? |
No |
20 |
0.345 |
$6.90 |
$-1.90 |
-21.6% |
| Will Lando Norris be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? |
Yes |
186 |
0.033 |
$6.05 |
$-0.43 |
-6.6% |
| Russia coup attempt in 2026? |
Yes |
60 |
0.075 |
$4.50 |
$0.60 |
+15.4% |
| Cuban regime falls in 2026? |
Yes |
34 |
0.105 |
$3.60 |
$-1.90 |
-34.5% |
| Will Zdravko Ponoš win the next Serbia presidential election? |
Yes |
100 |
0.028 |
$2.80 |
$1.55 |
+124.0% |
| China coup attempt before 2027? |
Yes |
90 |
0.030 |
$2.74 |
$-0.03 |
-1.1% |
| Will Israel annex any territory by December 31? |
Yes |
40 |
0.065 |
$2.60 |
$0.80 |
+44.4% |
| U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Japan" before 2027? |
Yes |
26 |
0.100 |
$2.57 |
$-0.72 |
-22.0% |
| Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary? |
No |
500 |
0.004 |
$1.75 |
$-0.25 |
-12.5% |
| Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026? |
Yes |
250 |
0.006 |
$1.50 |
$-12.60 |
-89.4% |