| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? |
No |
19,758 |
0.835 |
$16,497.71 |
$1,587.75 |
+10.6% |
| Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor? |
No |
10,390 |
0.980 |
$10,176.58 |
$-14.96 |
-0.1% |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31? |
No |
11,340 |
0.745 |
$8,448.18 |
$1,678.16 |
+24.8% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15? |
Yes |
6,739 |
0.895 |
$6,031.27 |
$1,128.56 |
+23.0% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 9? |
Yes |
5,380 |
0.945 |
$5,084.55 |
$196.72 |
+4.0% |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? |
Yes |
5,920 |
0.785 |
$4,647.52 |
$726.84 |
+18.5% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31? |
Yes |
4,702 |
0.785 |
$3,691.40 |
$988.69 |
+36.6% |
| Will GameStop acquire eBay? |
No |
3,500 |
0.875 |
$3,062.50 |
$42.51 |
+1.4% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in August? |
No |
3,000 |
0.953 |
$2,857.50 |
$37.50 |
+1.3% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 4? |
Yes |
2,326 |
0.999 |
$2,322.26 |
$343.39 |
+17.4% |
| Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? |
No |
2,500 |
0.905 |
$2,262.50 |
$332.52 |
+17.2% |
| Iran leadership change by December 31? |
No |
2,074 |
0.855 |
$1,773.49 |
$617.47 |
+53.4% |
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? |
No |
2,000 |
0.865 |
$1,729.98 |
$485.00 |
+39.0% |
| SAVE Act becomes law by December 31, 2026? |
No |
1,500 |
0.860 |
$1,289.99 |
$35.00 |
+2.8% |
| US x Cuba military clash in 2026? |
No |
1,631 |
0.740 |
$1,207.05 |
$165.43 |
+15.9% |
| NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026? |
No |
1,056 |
0.950 |
$1,002.67 |
$62.96 |
+6.7% |
| Will a European country take military action on Iran by August 31? |
No |
1,000 |
0.982 |
$982.00 |
$82.00 |
+9.1% |
| Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? |
Yes |
2,000 |
0.485 |
$970.00 |
$-0.97 |
-0.1% |
| Iran full airspace closure by August 15? |
No |
1,000 |
0.940 |
$940.00 |
$40.00 |
+4.4% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $52,500 in August? |
No |
1,000 |
0.925 |
$925.00 |
$45.00 |
+5.1% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in August? |
No |
1,000 |
0.875 |
$875.00 |
$75.00 |
+9.4% |
| Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends? |
No |
1,000 |
0.715 |
$715.00 |
$55.00 |
+8.3% |
| Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by September 30, 2026? |
No |
650 |
0.815 |
$529.68 |
$8.19 |
+1.6% |
| Will Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election? |
Yes |
612 |
0.835 |
$510.99 |
$-79.75 |
-13.5% |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House |
Yes |
1,000 |
0.455 |
$455.00 |
$35.02 |
+8.3% |