PnL (30d)

−$5

Economy · last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

+$14

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

-8.8%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

35%

6W / 11L · 39 open

Win Return (30d)

66%

37W / 19L

Trades (30d)

56

across 19 markets · ~3 per market

EV / position

−$0.66

avg win $1 · loss $2

Profit Factor

0.39

$3 won / $8 lost

Reward / Risk

0.52

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

$0

no drawdown

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	36.9% 38W/65L	148	$233
🏛 Politics	—	11	$7
💵 Economy	—	6	$4
₿ Crypto	—	3	$2
🌤 Weather	—	1	$0
🔬 Science	—	1	$0

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

120 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will USD/JPY hit 150 (Low) in 2026?	Yes	162	0.370	$59.93	$3.54	+6.3%
Will USD/JPY hit 140 (Low) in 2026?	Yes	100	0.210	$20.90	$1.34	+6.9%
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?	Yes	25	0.790	$20.03	$2.03	+11.3%
Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	Yes	126	0.101	$12.62	$10.50	+496.5%
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by August 31?	Yes	21	0.560	$11.60	$0.10	+0.9%
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by September 30, 2026?	Yes	44	0.185	$8.22	$1.07	+15.0%
Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 Action of the Year?	Yes	20	0.279	$5.58	$4.43	+385.2%
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	30	0.165	$4.95	$0.75	+17.8%
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?	Yes	71	0.055	$3.90	$-3.55	-47.7%
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by August 15?	Yes	24	0.160	$3.77	$-1.33	-26.0%
Will Ferrari be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?	Yes	27	0.127	$3.37	$1.37	+68.2%
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	5	0.675	$3.27	$0.27	+9.1%
Another S&P 500 Company buys Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?	Yes	10	0.326	$3.26	$1.26	+63.0%
Will Lando Norris be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	Yes	91	0.033	$2.95	$-0.44	-13.1%
Will USD/JPY hit 130 (Low) in 2026?	Yes	64	0.045	$2.88	$-4.17	-59.1%
Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?	No	18	0.155	$2.74	$-0.31	-10.1%
Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2026 Action of the Year?	Yes	15	0.168	$2.58	$2.05	+386.3%
Natural Disaster in 2026?	Yes	10	0.225	$2.25	$1.00	+80.0%
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?	Yes	19	0.115	$2.19	$-0.81	-27.2%
Will the United States have an Ebola case in 2026?	Yes	10	0.210	$2.10	$-0.15	-6.7%
Will Charles Leclerc win the 2026 Action of the Year?	Yes	22	0.088	$1.95	$0.85	+78.2%
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	3	0.545	$1.87	$-0.13	-6.5%
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December?	Yes	21	0.085	$1.79	$-0.06	-3.0%
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	No	10	0.177	$1.74	$-2.26	-56.5%
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	Yes	14	0.125	$1.73	$-3.42	-66.4%