ok2606
0xf374fa0b42e22a1571bb51758798e03e8a59ce1a
Scoped to Politics — every figure below is this category, last 30 days.
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PnL (30d)
−$1,774
Politics · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
−$50
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-77.6%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
80%
12W / 3L · 19 open
Win Return (30d)
35%
12W / 22L
Trades (30d)
34
across 6 markets · ~6 per market
EV / position
−$886.96
avg win $506 · loss $2,280
Profit Factor
0.22
$506 won / $2,280 lost
Reward / Risk
0.22
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
$0
no drawdown
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $1,400 · all-time $3,059,089
By category last 30d
click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Equity curve
realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure
Open positions
6 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
| Market |
Outcome |
Size |
Cur. price |
Current value |
Cash PnL |
% |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? |
No |
16,769 |
0.790 |
$13,255.99 |
$4,871.43 |
+58.1% |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? |
Yes |
16,769 |
0.209 |
$3,513.13 |
$-4,871.43 |
-58.1% |
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? |
No |
2,981 |
0.925 |
$2,757.13 |
$123.36 |
+4.7% |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? |
No |
1,338 |
0.945 |
$1,263.96 |
$129.22 |
+11.4% |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? |
No |
500 |
0.961 |
$480.25 |
$14.75 |
+3.2% |
| Will Greece recognize Palestine before 2027? |
No |
6 |
0.918 |
$5.79 |
$-0.10 |
-1.7% |