| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? |
No |
300 |
0.835 |
$250.50 |
$28.50 |
+12.8% |
| Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? |
No |
200 |
0.786 |
$157.30 |
$-0.70 |
-0.4% |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? |
No |
200 |
0.635 |
$127.00 |
$-3.00 |
-2.3% |
| Will a US-Iran deal in 2026 include Surrender of Iranian Enriched Uranium? |
No |
100 |
0.885 |
$88.50 |
$0.50 |
+0.6% |
| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? |
No |
100 |
0.865 |
$86.50 |
$4.50 |
+5.5% |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? |
No |
400 |
0.215 |
$86.00 |
$-40.00 |
-31.7% |
| Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 |
Yes |
100 |
0.820 |
$82.00 |
$5.00 |
+6.5% |
| Will a 1+ Year Enrichment Moratorium be in a US-Iran deal in 2026? |
No |
100 |
0.725 |
$72.50 |
$0.63 |
+0.9% |
| Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by August 31, 2026? |
No |
100 |
0.720 |
$72.00 |
$-16.00 |
-18.2% |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026? |
No |
100 |
0.715 |
$71.50 |
$-6.50 |
-8.3% |
| Will Dilution of Iranian Uranium be in a US-Iran deal in 2026? |
No |
100 |
0.665 |
$66.49 |
$-1.50 |
-2.2% |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? |
Yes |
100 |
0.645 |
$64.50 |
$10.50 |
+19.4% |
| Will Ukraine re-enter Uspenivka by December 31? |
No |
100 |
0.525 |
$52.50 |
$-12.50 |
-19.2% |
| Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? |
Yes |
100 |
0.510 |
$51.00 |
$9.00 |
+21.4% |
| Will Ukraine re-enter Obratne or Temyrivka by December 31? |
No |
100 |
0.435 |
$43.50 |
$-22.50 |
-34.1% |
| Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election? |
Yes |
300 |
0.135 |
$40.50 |
$16.50 |
+68.8% |
| Will any Uranium Enrichment % Cap (1+ Year) be in a US-Iran deal in 2026? |
No |
59 |
0.675 |
$39.96 |
$0.30 |
+0.7% |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? |
Yes |
100 |
0.325 |
$32.50 |
$-2.50 |
-7.1% |
| Will Wildberries announce bankruptcy before 2027? |
Yes |
200 |
0.145 |
$29.00 |
$-3.00 |
-9.4% |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? |
Yes |
100 |
0.259 |
$25.85 |
$2.85 |
+12.4% |
| Iran invades Kuwait by August 31? |
Yes |
1,000 |
0.017 |
$16.50 |
$-23.50 |
-58.8% |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? |
Yes |
200 |
0.040 |
$7.90 |
$-12.10 |
-60.5% |
| Will a ≤5% Uranium Enrichment Cap (1+ Year) be in a US-Iran deal in 2026? |
No |
3 |
0.685 |
$2.37 |
$0.02 |
+0.7% |