ToadToad
0xf2faf524fdf5901cf0f6e7a2eaae3f0c4e9f4a62
PnL (30d)
−$70
last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
$0
no open positions
ROI (30d)
-82.6%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
57%
4W / 3L
Win Return (30d)
57%
4W / 3L
Trades (30d)
7
across 5 markets · ~1 per market
EV / position
−$14.05
avg win $5 · loss $42
Profit Factor
0.17
$15 won / $85 lost
Reward / Risk
0.12
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$35
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · all-time $191,189
By category last 30d
click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
| Category |
Win Resolved (per trade) |
Markets |
Volume |
|
🌐 All markets
|
57.1%
4W/3L
|
5 |
$100 |
|
⚽ Sports
|
0.0%
0W/2L
|
1 |
$35 |
Equity curve
realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure
Open positions
6 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
| Market |
Outcome |
Size |
Cur. price |
Current value |
Cash PnL |
% |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31? |
No |
2,676 |
0.785 |
$2,101.04 |
$256.89 |
+13.9% |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31? |
No |
569 |
0.345 |
$196.26 |
$-52.66 |
-21.2% |
| Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027? |
Yes |
92 |
0.033 |
$3.00 |
$0.97 |
+47.7% |
| Will Multipli.fi launch a token by December 31, 2026? |
No |
2 |
0.500 |
$0.89 |
$0.55 |
+163.1% |
| Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? |
Yes |
2 |
0.175 |
$0.41 |
$-0.15 |
-27.1% |
| Will OpenAI IPO by September 30 2026? |
Yes |
1 |
0.026 |
$0.03 |
$-0.07 |
-70.5% |