| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? |
Yes |
235,120 |
0.675 |
$158,706.27 |
$-2,298.54 |
-1.4% |
| Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor? |
No |
72,423 |
0.984 |
$71,264.35 |
$358.78 |
+0.5% |
| Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record? |
Yes |
91,697 |
0.265 |
$24,299.83 |
$-2,620.26 |
-9.7% |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? |
Yes |
191,000 |
0.117 |
$22,251.47 |
$-10,640.41 |
-32.3% |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? |
Yes |
69,082 |
0.271 |
$18,686.60 |
$-1,480.35 |
-7.3% |
| Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election? |
Yes |
302,604 |
0.044 |
$13,465.87 |
$4,353.56 |
+47.8% |
| Netanyahu out by end of 2026? |
No |
20,208 |
0.610 |
$12,326.83 |
$2,340.78 |
+23.4% |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House |
Yes |
26,048 |
0.455 |
$11,851.77 |
$3,355.51 |
+39.5% |
| Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? |
Yes |
12,224 |
0.947 |
$11,570.17 |
$79.51 |
+0.7% |
| Will 2026 be the hottest year on record? |
Yes |
15,878 |
0.590 |
$9,368.02 |
$6,809.44 |
+266.1% |
| Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? |
No |
6,657 |
0.935 |
$6,224.71 |
$2,175.57 |
+53.7% |
| Will any month of 2026 be the hottest on record? |
Yes |
6,108 |
0.930 |
$5,680.34 |
$1,231.11 |
+27.7% |
| Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election? |
Yes |
57,000 |
0.093 |
$5,329.50 |
$3,968.17 |
+291.5% |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? |
No |
5,001 |
0.935 |
$4,676.03 |
$1,955.58 |
+71.9% |
| Will ACA premium tax credits not be extended and will the Democratic Party win the House in 2026? |
Yes |
5,162 |
0.820 |
$4,233.13 |
$469.34 |
+12.5% |
| Will there be between 14 and 16 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026? |
Yes |
8,698 |
0.430 |
$3,740.35 |
$2,354.74 |
+169.9% |
| Will Ethereum reach $5,000 by December 31, 2026? |
No |
3,740 |
0.958 |
$3,581.04 |
$1,112.65 |
+45.1% |
| 9.0 or above earthquake before 2027? |
No |
3,634 |
0.934 |
$3,393.78 |
$310.28 |
+10.1% |
| Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? |
Yes |
5,533 |
0.555 |
$3,070.72 |
$346.73 |
+12.7% |
| Kadyrov out as Head of the Chechen Republic by December 31, 2026? |
No |
3,503 |
0.875 |
$3,064.81 |
$798.61 |
+35.2% |
| Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? |
Yes |
6,300 |
0.485 |
$3,055.50 |
$565.52 |
+22.7% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2026? |
No |
2,912 |
0.964 |
$2,805.41 |
$1,000.16 |
+55.4% |
| Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? |
Yes |
3,200 |
0.845 |
$2,703.97 |
$783.99 |
+40.8% |
| 10.0 or above earthquake before 2027? |
No |
2,209 |
0.991 |
$2,189.01 |
$100.46 |
+4.8% |
| Will there be between 11 and 13 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026? |
Yes |
9,932 |
0.200 |
$1,986.31 |
$-99.62 |
-4.8% |