PnL (30d)

−$223

last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

−$1

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

-191.0%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

24%

9W / 29L · 5 open

Win Return (30d)

26%

11W / 32L

Trades (30d)

43

across 35 markets · ~1 per market

EV / position

−$7.21

avg win $8 · loss $11

Profit Factor

0.17

$47 won / $270 lost

Reward / Risk

0.72

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

$0

no drawdown

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	23.7% 9W/29L	35	$216
🏛 Politics	—	1	$10

Open positions

19 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Trump out as President before 2027?	Yes	500	0.065	$32.48	$-12.52	-27.8%
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?	Yes	183	0.045	$8.21	$-6.79	-45.2%
European country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by December 31?	Yes	65	0.115	$7.50	$2.50	+49.9%
Will the ECB announce a 25 bps decrease at the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	400	0.006	$2.40	$1.40	+140.0%
Will Cristiano Ronaldo announce his retirement in 2026?	Yes	24	0.090	$2.13	$-2.87	-57.4%
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	12	0.155	$1.94	$-0.06	-3.1%
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	3	0.375	$1.25	$0.25	+25.0%
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	4	0.184	$0.75	$-0.25	-24.7%
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	125	0.004	$0.56	$-0.44	-43.8%
Will the National Action Party (PAN) win the most seats in the 2027 Mexico legislative election?	Yes	20	0.024	$0.48	$-0.52	-52.0%
Will Dominique de Villepin win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	21	0.019	$0.41	$-0.59	-59.4%
Will the Labor Party (PT) win the most seats in the 2027 Mexico legislative election?	Yes	27	0.002	$0.04	$-0.96	-95.9%
Will the Ecologist Green Party of Mexico (PVEM) win the most seats in the 2027 Mexico legislative election?	Yes	25	0.002	$0.04	$-0.96	-96.2%
Will Lebanese Forces win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election?	Yes	17	0.002	$0.03	$-0.97	-96.6%
Will Șerban Matei be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	Yes	5	0.006	$0.03	$-0.97	-96.8%
Will National Liberal Party win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election?	Yes	64	0.001	$0.03	$-0.97	-96.8%
Will Delia Velculescu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	Yes	3	0.011	$0.03	$-0.97	-97.0%
Will Popular Nasserist Organization win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election?	Yes	54	0.001	$0.03	$-0.97	-97.3%
Will Free Patriotic Movement win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election?	Yes	40	0.001	$0.02	$-0.98	-98.0%