PnL (30d)

−$7

last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

+$4

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

-2.9%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

50%

4W / 4L · 48 open

Win Return (30d)

81%

44W / 10L · 2 open

Trades (30d)

56

across 26 markets · ~2 per market

EV / position

−$1.19

avg win $0 · loss $2

Profit Factor

0.11

$1 won / $8 lost

Reward / Risk

0.22

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

$0

no drawdown

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	50.0% 4W/4L	26	$306
₿ Crypto	—	6	$107
💵 Economy	—	1	$4

Open positions

30 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	75	0.755	$56.62	$0.63	+1.1%
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?	No	50	0.905	$45.24	$0.75	+1.7%
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	50	0.640	$32.00	$0.75	+2.4%
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	275	0.085	$23.38	$-187.57	-88.9%
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	25	0.845	$21.12	$0.97	+4.8%
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026?	Yes	520	0.038	$20.04	$-193.90	-90.6%
Will Zcash reach $700 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	25	0.495	$12.38	$4.67	+60.7%
Will Bitcoin reach $77,500 in August?	No	5	0.975	$4.87	$0.02	+0.5%
Will Bitcoin dip to $47,500 in August?	No	5	0.971	$4.85	$0.00	+0.1%
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in August?	No	5	0.953	$4.76	$0.06	+1.3%
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December?	No	5	0.915	$4.58	$0.07	+1.7%
Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	10	0.375	$3.75	$-3.00	-44.4%
Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026?	Yes	75	0.046	$3.49	$-7.76	-69.0%
Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	5	0.695	$3.47	$0.10	+2.9%
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	5	0.665	$3.33	$0.07	+2.3%
Will Hyperliquid reach $80 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	10	0.330	$3.30	$-3.20	-49.2%
Will 1 Fed rate hike happen in 2026?	Yes	10	0.325	$3.25	$-0.50	-13.3%
Will Bitcoin have the best performance in 2026?	Yes	20	0.145	$2.90	$-1.50	-34.1%
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	5	0.495	$2.48	$-1.02	-29.3%
Will STRC hit $100 by December 31?	Yes	5	0.490	$2.45	$0.95	+63.3%
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	5	0.455	$2.27	$0.77	+51.7%
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	15	0.045	$0.67	$-2.28	-77.2%
New COVID variant of concern before 2027?	Yes	5	0.130	$0.65	$-0.10	-13.3%
New pandemic in 2026?	Yes	10	0.065	$0.65	$-0.60	-48.0%
Will Zcash reach $1000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	5	0.095	$0.47	$-0.28	-36.7%