0xF2B05d854E0aF18E70B76e96534E2e7F7A04b26b-1750278413305
0xf2b05d854e0af18e70b76e96534e2e7f7a04b26b
Scoped to Politics — every figure below is this category, last 30 days.
← All markets
PnL (30d)
+$41
Politics · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$1,082
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
+0.3%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
100%
4W / 0L · 25 open
Win Return (30d)
97%
28W / 1L
Trades (30d)
29
across 5 markets · ~6 per market
EV / position
+$20.65
avg win $21
Profit Factor
∞
no losses yet
Reward / Risk
—
need wins & losses
Max Drawdown
$0
no drawdown
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $2,897 · all-time $974,149
By category last 30d
click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Open positions
10 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
| Market |
Outcome |
Size |
Cur. price |
Current value |
Cash PnL |
% |
| Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? |
No |
17,276 |
0.905 |
$15,635.23 |
$1,995.09 |
+14.6% |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31? |
No |
8,361 |
0.979 |
$8,181.43 |
$383.60 |
+4.9% |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? |
No |
7,200 |
0.845 |
$6,084.00 |
$725.02 |
+13.5% |
| Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026? |
No |
3,306 |
0.875 |
$2,892.48 |
$333.21 |
+13.0% |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31? |
No |
1,000 |
0.905 |
$905.00 |
$45.00 |
+5.2% |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30? |
No |
797 |
0.962 |
$766.71 |
$33.47 |
+4.6% |
| Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by December 31, 2026? |
No |
397 |
0.955 |
$379.33 |
$13.73 |
+3.8% |
| Will Russia invade another country in 2026? |
No |
326 |
0.925 |
$301.28 |
$11.50 |
+4.0% |
| Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? |
No |
250 |
0.962 |
$240.50 |
$3.75 |
+1.6% |
| Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? |
No |
104 |
0.981 |
$102.24 |
$2.24 |
+2.2% |