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Trader leaderboard/doil

doil

0xf294919e16868d927b0247891543b9187d6e7967
Scoped to Politics — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
+$0
Politics · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
−$41
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
+0.0%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
no 30d activity
Win Return (30d)
95%
473W / 27L
Trades (30d)
500
across 8 markets · ~62 per market
EV / position
no settled positions
Profit Factor
no losses yet
Reward / Risk
need wins & losses
Max Drawdown
$0
no drawdown
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $19,789 · all-time $9,695,743

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 80.9% 297W/70L 42 $36,157
🏛 Politics 4 $564
🎬 Culture 3 $2,900
💵 Economy 3 $663
₿ Crypto 2 $253
🤖 Tech 2 $541
🔬 Science 1 $76
⚽ Sports 1 $29

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

41 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026? No 1,000 0.962 $961.51 $31.50 +3.4%
Will Matt Damon win Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards? Yes 2,850 0.285 $811.96 $-57.52 -6.6%
Trump on $250 bill this year? No 800 0.973 $778.40 $50.40 +6.9%
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? Yes 962 0.615 $591.89 $35.99 +6.5%
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? No 600 0.961 $576.30 $16.90 +3.0%
Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? Yes 960 0.575 $552.00 $-75.40 -12.0%
Hugh Jackman as Wolverine? Yes 538 0.880 $473.80 $35.36 +8.1%
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026? Yes 391 0.910 $356.03 $18.14 +5.4%
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes 1,358 0.184 $250.46 $-72.86 -22.5%
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes 1,360 0.160 $217.53 $-31.53 -12.7%
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? Yes 250 0.855 $213.75 $-6.25 -2.8%
Will Dune: Messiah get the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards? Yes 4,995 0.038 $189.80 $-336.16 -63.9%
Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch? Yes 200 0.893 $178.61 $-3.80 -2.1%
Will the Seattle Seahawks win the 2027 NFL league championship? No 150 0.935 $140.24 $10.05 +7.7%
Will Toy Story 5 be the top grossing movie of 2026? No 100 0.999 $99.85 $10.22 +11.4%
NBA: Stephen Curry to leave Warriors? No 100 0.960 $95.95 $3.95 +4.3%
Predict.fun FDV above $400M one day after launch? No 236 0.400 $94.37 $6.63 +7.6%
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Yes 110 0.745 $81.74 $41.26 +101.9%
Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? Yes 1,200 0.064 $76.20 $-27.80 -26.7%
Will MetaMask launch a token by December 31, 2026? No 74 0.930 $68.80 $23.67 +52.5%
Will the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) win the most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election? Yes 47 0.983 $46.32 $0.54 +1.2%
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? Yes 1,955 0.024 $45.93 $-62.54 -57.7%
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes 200 0.209 $41.90 $-6.10 -12.7%
Will the Kansas City Chiefs win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes 495 0.079 $38.87 $13.62 +53.9%
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? Yes 51 0.685 $35.17 $3.07 +9.6%