PnL (30d)

+$1,473

Weather · last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

−$6

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

+20.7%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

61%

226W / 143L · 9 open

Win Return (30d)

61%

231W / 147L

Trades (30d)

378

across 138 markets · ~3 per market

EV / position

+$11.24

avg win $38 · loss $19

Profit Factor

2.24

$2,659 won / $1,186 lost

Reward / Risk

1.95

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$45

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	50.4% 842W/830L	653	$66,832
⚽ Sports	69.9% 58W/25L	26	$673
🌤 Weather	78.9% 30W/8L	22	$406

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

25 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 10°C on August 6?	Yes	76	0.370	$28.14	$1.58	+6.0%
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 27°C on August 5?	Yes	33	0.545	$18.02	$-3.82	-17.5%
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 33°C on August 5?	Yes	15	0.985	$14.92	$4.92	+49.2%
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on August 5?	Yes	30	0.480	$14.31	$-0.69	-4.6%
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 30°C on August 5?	Yes	43	0.240	$10.43	$0.43	+4.3%
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on August 5?	Yes	39	0.245	$9.59	$-1.41	-12.8%
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on August 5?	Yes	23	0.400	$9.30	$-0.70	-7.0%
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 35°C on August 6?	Yes	11	0.485	$5.51	$0.51	+10.2%
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 72-73°F on August 5?	Yes	10	0.515	$5.05	$0.05	+1.0%
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 27°C on August 5?	Yes	14	0.345	$4.93	$-0.07	-1.5%
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 27°C on August 5?	Yes	23	0.210	$4.83	$-0.15	-3.0%
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on August 5?	Yes	28	0.140	$3.93	$-0.84	-17.6%
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 31°C on August 5?	Yes	68	0.035	$2.37	$-2.63	-52.6%
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on August 6?	Yes	4	0.445	$1.98	$-0.02	-1.1%
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 32°C on August 6?	Yes	1	0.665	$0.99	$-0.01	-0.7%
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 30°C on August 5?	Yes	3	0.335	$0.91	$-0.09	-9.4%
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 9°C on August 6?	Yes	50	0.015	$0.75	$-1.25	-62.5%
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 27°C on August 6?	Yes	20	0.015	$0.29	$-0.71	-70.6%
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 18°C on August 5?	Yes	4	0.035	$0.13	$-0.87	-87.0%
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 32°C on August 5?	Yes	23	0.005	$0.13	$-14.87	-99.1%
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 33°C on August 5?	Yes	2	0.015	$0.03	$-0.97	-97.3%
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 10°C on August 5?	Yes	29	0.001	$0.01	$-3.99	-99.6%
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on August 5?	Yes	23	0.001	$0.01	$-8.99	-99.9%
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 33°C on August 5?	Yes	21	0.001	$0.01	$-2.99	-99.6%
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on August 5?	Yes	14	0.001	$0.01	$-6.99	-99.9%