PnL (30d)

−$2,820

last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

+$255

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

-0.1%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

49%

81,834W / 84,031L · 989 open

Win Return (30d)

49%

82,157W / 84,369L · 328 open

Trades (30d)

166,854

across 3,102 markets · ~54 per market

EV / position

−$0.93

avg win $38 · loss $37

Profit Factor

0.95

$55,182 won / $58,002 lost

Reward / Risk

1.04

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$4,666

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	49.3% 81,834W/84,031L	3102	$6,209,713
⚽ Sports	44.8% 22,121W/27,278L	1015	$1,373,367
🏛 Politics	62.2% 377W/229L	8	$36,369
💵 Economy	62.2% 377W/229L	8	$37,305
₿ Crypto	100.0% 11W/0L	1	$79

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

63 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Grodzisk Mazowiecki: Alejandro Moro Canas vs Alexander Donski	Alexander Donski	1,099	0.500	$549.69	$133.94	+32.2%
Grodzisk Mazowiecki: Alejandro Moro Canas vs Alexander Donski	Alejandro Moro Canas	1,063	0.500	$531.69	$-222.15	-29.5%
LoL: BNK FearX Youth vs Kiwoom DRX Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 3-4 Trial Group	Kiwoom DRX Challengers	493	1.000	$492.69	$153.89	+45.4%
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	428	0.991	$423.74	$0.44	+0.1%
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	413	0.984	$406.37	$0.05	+0.0%
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	409	0.987	$403.38	$0.30	+0.1%
LoL: Dplus KIA Challengers vs Nongshim Esports Academy (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 3-4 Challenge Group	Dplus KIA Challengers	350	0.996	$348.60	$58.23	+20.1%
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs Nongshim Red Force - Game 2 Winner	Nongshim Red Force	500	0.630	$314.98	$-5.00	-1.6%
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?	Yes	329	0.785	$258.27	$12.06	+4.9%
Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	407	0.625	$254.57	$-7.29	-2.8%
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs Nongshim Red Force - Game 1 Winner	HANJIN BRION	250	1.000	$250.37	$12.57	+5.3%
LoL: Dplus KIA Challengers vs Nongshim Esports Academy - Game 2 Winner	Dplus KIA Challengers	250	0.999	$249.62	$20.12	+8.8%
LoL: Dplus KIA Challengers vs Nongshim Esports Academy - Game 1 Winner	Nongshim Esports Academy	250	0.996	$248.88	$71.58	+40.4%
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	532	0.465	$247.51	$-9.94	-3.9%
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Group	HANJIN BRION	400	0.595	$237.97	$30.37	+14.6%
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	432	0.535	$231.28	$13.65	+6.3%
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	No	433	0.485	$210.17	$-11.62	-5.2%
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs Nongshim Red Force - Game 2 Winner	HANJIN BRION	550	0.370	$203.49	$14.00	+7.4%
Boston Red Sox vs. New York Yankees	New York Yankees	427	0.470	$200.73	$-10.63	-5.0%
Boston Red Sox vs. New York Yankees	Boston Red Sox	365	0.530	$193.48	$20.22	+11.7%
Dota 2: Team Resilience vs Rune Eaters - Game 1 Winner	Team Resilience	185	1.000	$185.04	$83.29	+81.9%
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	333	0.515	$171.67	$13.05	+8.2%
Dota 2: Team Resilience vs Rune Eaters (BO3) - Games of the Future Playoffs	Team Resilience	229	0.680	$155.99	$3.29	+2.2%
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Group	Nongshim Red Force	350	0.405	$141.73	$-35.75	-20.1%
Will Chicago Fire FC win on 2026-07-16?	No	200	0.665	$133.00	$109.00	+454.2%