| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? |
No |
50,000 |
0.790 |
$39,525.00 |
$14,525.00 |
+58.1% |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? |
No |
40,000 |
0.935 |
$37,400.00 |
$1,200.00 |
+3.3% |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? |
No |
35,000 |
0.835 |
$29,225.00 |
$831.25 |
+2.9% |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? |
Yes |
30,000 |
0.865 |
$25,949.99 |
$1,150.26 |
+4.6% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15? |
No |
20,000 |
0.969 |
$19,369.96 |
$-150.00 |
-0.8% |
| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? |
No |
20,000 |
0.865 |
$17,300.00 |
$700.02 |
+4.2% |
| Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election? |
Yes |
13,228 |
0.987 |
$13,049.78 |
$797.84 |
+6.5% |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? |
Yes |
20,000 |
0.645 |
$12,899.85 |
$1,539.94 |
+13.6% |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? |
Yes |
15,000 |
0.785 |
$11,774.92 |
$3,775.16 |
+47.2% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? |
No |
13,500 |
0.835 |
$11,272.31 |
$-563.83 |
-4.8% |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? |
Yes |
50,000 |
0.209 |
$10,475.00 |
$-14,525.00 |
-58.1% |
| Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election? |
No |
10,000 |
0.987 |
$9,869.98 |
$670.00 |
+7.3% |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? |
No |
10,000 |
0.945 |
$9,449.99 |
$250.00 |
+2.7% |
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? |
No |
10,000 |
0.925 |
$9,249.94 |
$150.00 |
+1.6% |
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? |
No |
8,587 |
0.875 |
$7,513.36 |
$1,588.54 |
+26.8% |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026? |
No |
7,000 |
0.960 |
$6,720.01 |
$5.02 |
+0.1% |
| Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? |
No |
7,000 |
0.945 |
$6,614.98 |
$105.00 |
+1.6% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026? |
Yes |
9,499 |
0.685 |
$6,506.77 |
$2,452.19 |
+60.5% |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? |
No |
7,125 |
0.905 |
$6,448.19 |
$199.75 |
+3.2% |
| Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by September 30, 2026? |
No |
6,000 |
0.964 |
$5,780.99 |
$561.00 |
+10.7% |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31? |
No |
6,000 |
0.895 |
$5,369.96 |
$895.42 |
+20.0% |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? |
Yes |
6,286 |
0.852 |
$5,355.73 |
$100.07 |
+1.9% |
| Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? |
No |
6,000 |
0.885 |
$5,310.00 |
$630.00 |
+13.5% |
| Will Donavan McKinney be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13? |
Yes |
5,000 |
0.951 |
$4,752.50 |
$452.50 |
+10.5% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? |
Yes |
7,500 |
0.620 |
$4,649.85 |
$449.99 |
+10.7% |