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Trader leaderboard/ReubenToro

ReubenToro

0xf1cd7d852e8dd8419866af5f590ddc5af1174a46
Scoped to Weather — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
+$46
Weather · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
$0
no open positions
ROI (30d)
+3.3%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
100%
103W / 0L
Win Return (30d)
100%
103W / 0L
Trades (30d)
103
across 45 markets · ~2 per market
EV / position
+$1.03
avg win $1
Profit Factor
no losses yet
Reward / Risk
need wins & losses
Max Drawdown
$0
no drawdown
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $3,137 · all-time $46,214

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 97.1% 883W/26L 597 $19,349
⚽ Sports 97.4% 294W/8L 151 $4,207
🏛 Politics 100.0% 3W/0L 4 $158
🌤 Weather 100.0% 1W/0L 1 $40
💵 Economy 0.0% 0W/1L 1 $40
🤖 Tech 100.0% 1W/0L 1 $40

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

21 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will AFC Ajax vs. Brøndby IF end in a draw? No 41 1.000 $41.00 $1.23 +3.1%
Will Hammarby IF FF vs. FK Apolonia Fier end in a draw? No 41 1.000 $40.98 $1.21 +3.0%
Will Iran target a Arab country on August 4, 2026? No 41 0.982 $40.26 $0.49 +1.2%
Israel x Hezbollah diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026? No 41 0.978 $40.10 $0.33 +0.8%
Will the Democrats win the Minnesota governor race in 2026? Yes 42 0.935 $39.27 $0.63 +1.6%
Exact Score: Chicago Fire FC 1 - 0 Vancouver Whitecaps FC? No 41 0.845 $34.62 $-5.15 -12.9%
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026? Yes 35 0.835 $29.49 $20.31 +221.2%
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day? No 20 0.985 $19.69 $0.29 +1.5%
Will Jonathan Hofeller be on-stage at a bell ceremony commemorating SpaceX's IPO? No 20 0.789 $15.78 $-3.62 -18.7%
Will Marsha Blackburn win the 2026 Tennessee Governor Republican primary election? Yes 13 0.956 $12.08 $0.03 +0.2%
Will the Republicans win the Florida Senate race in 2026? Yes 7 0.900 $6.30 $0.70 +12.5%
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? Yes 10 0.635 $6.14 $0.34 +5.8%
Will Fernando Dias da Costa win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election? Yes 37 0.162 $5.95 $-9.29 -61.0%
Will the Democrats win the Pennsylvania governor race in 2026? Yes 6 0.950 $5.70 $0.18 +3.3%
Will Platforma Reupblicana “Nô Kumpu Guiné” win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s Assembly election? Yes 10 0.309 $3.20 $-3.37 -51.3%
Will OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day? Yes 67 0.044 $2.98 $-12.23 -80.4%
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1T and $1.25T at market close on IPO day? Yes 40 0.050 $1.98 $-3.42 -63.3%
Will Umaro Sissoco Embaló win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election? Yes 5 0.163 $0.86 $0.54 +170.8%
Will Siga Batista win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election? Yes 13 0.065 $0.85 $-1.07 -55.8%
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day? Yes 11 0.015 $0.18 $-1.21 -87.3%
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $500B and $750B at market close on IPO day? Yes 4 0.003 $0.01 $-0.33 -96.8%