| US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended? |
No |
1,104 |
0.295 |
$325.54 |
$-197.26 |
-37.7% |
| Altcoin market cap dip to $150B before 2027? |
No |
278 |
0.320 |
$88.90 |
$24.02 |
+37.0% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? |
Yes |
136 |
0.615 |
$83.61 |
$10.67 |
+14.6% |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026? |
Yes |
102 |
0.565 |
$57.55 |
$18.88 |
+48.8% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? |
Yes |
194 |
0.145 |
$28.08 |
$-13.63 |
-32.7% |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? |
Yes |
30 |
0.655 |
$19.65 |
$2.85 |
+17.0% |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? |
Yes |
150 |
0.095 |
$14.25 |
$-19.75 |
-58.1% |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? |
Yes |
31 |
0.325 |
$10.11 |
$-0.69 |
-6.4% |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026? |
No |
10 |
0.961 |
$9.61 |
$2.10 |
+28.1% |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? |
Yes |
100 |
0.095 |
$9.50 |
$-11.30 |
-54.3% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? |
Yes |
23 |
0.350 |
$7.93 |
$0.00 |
+0.0% |
| Iran full airspace closure by August 31? |
Yes |
69 |
0.110 |
$7.55 |
$-6.72 |
-47.1% |
| Clavicular sentenced to prison? |
Yes |
50 |
0.130 |
$6.50 |
$-1.50 |
-18.8% |
| UNSC Resolution Endorsing Final U.S.-Iran Deal by December 31? |
No |
10 |
0.645 |
$6.45 |
$0.25 |
+4.0% |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31? |
No |
5 |
0.745 |
$3.80 |
$1.20 |
+46.1% |
| Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027? |
No |
3 |
0.861 |
$2.90 |
$-0.10 |
-3.4% |
| Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first? |
OpenAI |
20 |
0.105 |
$2.10 |
$-0.50 |
-19.2% |
| Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by December 31, 2026? |
No |
2 |
0.815 |
$1.73 |
$-0.27 |
-13.3% |
| US x China tariff agreement by December 31? |
No |
14 |
0.111 |
$1.51 |
$-0.89 |
-36.9% |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? |
No |
10 |
0.135 |
$1.35 |
$-0.65 |
-32.5% |
| AI bubble burst in 2026? |
No |
1 |
0.839 |
$1.10 |
$0.10 |
+10.4% |
| Will the US reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026? |
No |
1 |
0.955 |
$1.03 |
$0.03 |
+2.7% |
| Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? |
No |
1 |
0.830 |
$1.02 |
$0.02 |
+2.5% |
| US military draft authorized in 2026? |
No |
1 |
0.954 |
$1.02 |
$0.02 |
+1.6% |
| KRG declares independence from Iraq by December 31? |
No |
1 |
0.950 |
$1.01 |
$0.01 |
+1.0% |