CharizardStar
0xf1a373992677f6817c762994c44802b60de5f17b
Scoped to Politics — every figure below is this category, last 30 days.
← All markets
PnL (30d)
−$3
Politics · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$1
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-1.4%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
80%
4W / 1L · 8 open
Win Return (30d)
86%
6W / 1L · 6 open
Trades (30d)
13
across 5 markets · ~3 per market
EV / position
−$1.42
avg win $0 · loss $3
Profit Factor
0.07
$0 won / $3 lost
Reward / Risk
0.07
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$3
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $307 · all-time $137,082
By category last 30d
click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Equity curve
realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure
Open positions
7 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
| Market |
Outcome |
Size |
Cur. price |
Current value |
Cash PnL |
% |
| Is Earth flat? |
No |
145 |
0.990 |
$143.48 |
$2.11 |
+1.5% |
| Costco increases hotdog price before 2027? |
No |
68 |
0.915 |
$61.86 |
$1.65 |
+2.7% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 by December 31, 2026? |
No |
25 |
0.925 |
$23.12 |
$1.88 |
+8.8% |
| Will Donavan McKinney be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13? |
Yes |
20 |
0.951 |
$19.01 |
$1.01 |
+5.6% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026? |
No |
20 |
0.885 |
$17.70 |
$1.75 |
+11.0% |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? |
No |
10 |
0.935 |
$9.35 |
$0.35 |
+3.9% |
| Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals? |
Yes |
40 |
0.134 |
$5.34 |
$-0.32 |
-5.7% |