PnL (30d)

−$645

last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

+$103

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

-7.0%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

16%

3W / 16L · 64 open

Win Return (30d)

17%

14W / 69L

Trades (30d)

83

across 14 markets · ~6 per market

EV / position

−$80.58

avg win $95 · loss $139

Profit Factor

0.23

$191 won / $836 lost

Reward / Risk

0.69

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

$0

no drawdown

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	15.8% 3W/16L	14	$11,523
🤖 Tech	—	2	$4,117
🔬 Science	—	2	$4,117

Open positions

4 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?	Yes	12,335	0.175	$2,158.62	$-424.19	-16.4%
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?	No	1,422	0.724	$1,028.66	$42.63	+4.3%
Will the Bank of Japan announce a 25 bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?	No	335	0.635	$212.49	$-21.24	-9.1%
Will the Bank of Japan announce no change at the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	196	0.630	$123.51	$5.40	+4.6%