Log in
Trader leaderboard/Trader

Trader

0xf1899a30a2c016941bf4abd77b900ecacd768e47
Scoped to Weather — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
+$799
Weather · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
$0
no open positions
ROI (30d)
+6.8%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
49%
53W / 55L
Win Return (30d)
49%
53W / 55L
Trades (30d)
108
across 29 markets · ~4 per market
EV / position
+$27.57
avg win $50 · loss $80
Profit Factor
3.00
$1,199 won / $400 lost
Reward / Risk
0.62
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$241
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $25,413 · all-time $4,138,012

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 61.4% 468W/294L 154 $190,191
💵 Economy 100.0% 9W/0L 20 $5,337
₿ Crypto 100.0% 9W/0L 19 $5,288
🌤 Weather 20.4% 10W/39L 10 $2,844
🤖 Tech — 2 $211

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

39 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $54 in August? No 1,905 0.715 $1,362.00 $565.98 +71.1%
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $48 in August? No 940 0.970 $911.91 $116.92 +14.7%
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $70 in August? No 1,063 0.730 $775.99 $-175.34 -18.4%
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $64 in August? Yes 643 0.795 $511.41 $285.53 +126.4%
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 34°C on August 5? No 386 1.000 $385.79 $17.17 +4.7%
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,600 in August? No 368 0.977 $359.87 $17.44 +5.1%
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,400 in August? Yes 888 0.370 $328.74 $208.97 +174.5%
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,700 in August? No 331 0.970 $321.34 $20.91 +7.0%
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 33°C on August 5? Yes 318 1.000 $317.44 $10.77 +3.5%
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,000 in August? No 400 0.650 $260.00 $128.00 +97.0%
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $72 in August? No 300 0.825 $247.50 $-28.50 -10.3%
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $50 in August? No 236 0.940 $221.44 $41.23 +22.9%
Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026? Yes 200 0.850 $169.99 $8.00 +4.9%
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $70 in August? Yes 600 0.270 $162.00 $114.00 +237.5%
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $72 in August? Yes 718 0.175 $125.74 $85.13 +209.6%
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,300 in August? No 354 0.335 $118.50 $-107.88 -47.7%
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $66 in August? No 258 0.455 $117.16 $-69.87 -37.4%
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $68 in August? Yes 271 0.425 $115.17 $69.10 +150.0%
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,500 in August? No 120 0.855 $102.60 $-10.20 -9.0%
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,500 in August? No 100 0.983 $98.25 $2.95 +3.1%
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,900 in August? Yes 540 0.175 $94.54 $-171.93 -64.5%
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $46 in August? No 94 0.977 $91.83 $4.42 +5.1%
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,000 in August? Yes 251 0.350 $87.72 $-125.31 -58.8%
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,300 in August? Yes 108 0.665 $71.54 $36.16 +102.2%
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $56 in August? No 116 0.565 $65.46 $44.60 +213.8%