Log in
Trader leaderboard/rocky42017

rocky42017

0xf16dd3586eb9ca2b002a0498548b15439991b7f9
Scoped to Politics — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
−$4
Politics · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
−$86
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-0.1%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
6%
1W / 16L · 164 open
Win Return (30d)
56%
101W / 80L
Trades (30d)
181
across 16 markets · ~11 per market
EV / position
−$1.42
avg win $1 · loss $3
Profit Factor
0.19
$1 won / $5 lost
Reward / Risk
0.38
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
$0
no drawdown
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $12,231 · all-time $7,829,945

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 41.0% 1,736W/2,494L 323 $115,239
⚽ Sports 62.7% 84W/50L 18 $3,421
💵 Economy 16.7% 1W/5L 9 $872
🎬 Culture 3.2% 1W/30L 8 $2,740
🌤 Weather 36.4% 8W/14L 5 $151
₿ Crypto 0.0% 0W/4L 3 $30
🏛 Politics — 3 $984
🤖 Tech — 2 $173

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

85 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will US GDP growth in 2026 be greater than 2.5%? No 561 0.845 $474.28 $348.60 +277.4%
Will Oliver Larkin be the FL-25 Democratic nominee? No 297 0.915 $271.84 $30.26 +12.5%
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No 594 0.385 $228.74 $-54.01 -19.1%
Will Alexandru Nazare be the next Prime Minister of Romania? No 319 0.590 $188.21 $-24.95 -11.7%
Will Trump launch a coin by December 31? Yes 1,250 0.145 $181.22 $-90.26 -33.2%
Rippling IPO before 2027? Yes 1,250 0.125 $156.23 $-121.49 -43.7%
Fannie Mae IPO before 2027? Yes 1,249 0.100 $124.91 $-141.61 -53.1%
Vanta IPO before 2027? Yes 1,249 0.095 $118.70 $-161.22 -57.6%
Mistral AI IPO before 2027? Yes 919 0.125 $114.88 $-51.82 -31.1%
Anthropic IPO before 2027? No 289 0.350 $101.25 $-9.32 -8.4%
Kraken IPO closing market cap above $16B? Yes 612 0.165 $101.03 $-86.02 -46.0%
Ripple Labs IPO before 2027? Yes 1,210 0.075 $90.72 $-119.87 -56.9%
Celonis IPO before 2027? Yes 948 0.090 $85.35 $-138.10 -61.8%
Will the Republicans win the Michigan governor race in 2026? No 98 0.835 $82.05 $1.47 +1.8%
Freddie Mac IPO before 2027? Yes 1,050 0.075 $78.76 $-142.19 -64.4%
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026? No 871 0.090 $78.37 $-125.27 -61.5%
Iran leadership change by June 30, 2027? Yes 299 0.225 $67.34 $-52.74 -43.9%
Ramp IPO before 2027? Yes 779 0.085 $66.23 $-168.79 -71.8%
Anduril IPO before 2027? Yes 869 0.070 $60.82 $-171.08 -73.8%
Will Francesca Hong win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary by at least 30%? Yes 300 0.195 $58.41 $-62.90 -51.9%
Will Francesca Hong win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary by 25–30%? No 70 0.805 $56.35 $7.35 +15.0%
Will STRC hit $100 by September 30? Yes 164 0.335 $55.05 $35.65 +183.8%
Will Mamdani freeze NYC rents before 2027? No 258 0.195 $50.23 $29.13 +138.1%
Remote IPO before 2027? Yes 349 0.140 $48.84 $-15.30 -23.9%
Iran leadership change by December 31? Yes 300 0.145 $43.44 $-36.57 -45.7%