| Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? |
Yes |
13,496 |
0.940 |
$12,679.25 |
$2,674.75 |
+26.7% |
| Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election? |
No |
8,321 |
0.987 |
$8,208.98 |
$379.23 |
+4.8% |
| Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? |
No |
8,846 |
0.927 |
$8,204.40 |
$96.67 |
+1.2% |
| Will the Republicans win the Colorado Senate race in 2026? |
No |
7,332 |
0.945 |
$6,928.30 |
$836.87 |
+13.7% |
| Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends? |
No |
7,281 |
0.715 |
$5,206.19 |
$1,932.42 |
+59.0% |
| Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? |
No |
6,585 |
0.680 |
$4,477.76 |
$-224.24 |
-4.8% |
| Will the Republicans win the Vermont governor race in 2026? |
Yes |
3,960 |
0.870 |
$3,445.51 |
$744.04 |
+27.5% |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? |
Yes |
4,000 |
0.675 |
$2,700.00 |
$220.03 |
+8.9% |
| Will Karoline Leavitt leave the Trump administration before 2027? |
No |
1,317 |
0.790 |
$1,040.61 |
$313.49 |
+43.1% |
| Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026? |
Yes |
7,705 |
0.125 |
$963.08 |
$-916.31 |
-48.8% |
| Sanae Takaichi out as Prime Minister of Japan in 2026? |
No |
1,000 |
0.910 |
$910.00 |
$75.00 |
+9.0% |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31? |
Yes |
5,016 |
0.150 |
$752.35 |
$-401.25 |
-34.8% |
| Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? |
No |
1,500 |
0.485 |
$727.50 |
$52.50 |
+7.8% |
| Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? |
Yes |
5,782 |
0.095 |
$549.33 |
$-645.17 |
-54.0% |
| Venezuela election scheduled by December 31, 2026? |
Yes |
1,518 |
0.240 |
$364.25 |
$-292.95 |
-44.6% |
| Will the Democrats win the Colorado Senate race in 2026? |
Yes |
322 |
0.940 |
$303.12 |
$28.63 |
+10.4% |
| Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027? |
No |
330 |
0.907 |
$299.49 |
$1.67 |
+0.6% |
| Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? |
Yes |
8,591 |
0.035 |
$296.38 |
$-97.06 |
-24.7% |
| Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor? |
No |
277 |
0.980 |
$270.99 |
$4.72 |
+1.8% |
| Cuban regime falls in 2026? |
Yes |
1,303 |
0.095 |
$123.81 |
$-104.79 |
-45.8% |
| Will Count Binface win less than 10% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election? |
Yes |
1,515 |
0.075 |
$113.64 |
$-174.24 |
-60.5% |
| Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election? |
No |
7,746 |
0.013 |
$104.57 |
$-424.40 |
-80.2% |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? |
Yes |
120 |
0.823 |
$98.29 |
$28.70 |
+41.2% |
| NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026? |
Yes |
782 |
0.051 |
$39.83 |
$-30.49 |
-43.4% |
| Will Ivanka Trump announce a presidential run before 2027? |
No |
38 |
0.963 |
$36.48 |
$13.93 |
+61.8% |