| Will Count Binface get second place in the Clacton by-election? |
Yes |
129 |
0.966 |
$124.64 |
$24.00 |
+23.8% |
| Will CDU/CSU–SPD German federal coalition break before 2027? |
No |
138 |
0.875 |
$120.72 |
$3.11 |
+2.6% |
| Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026? |
No |
126 |
0.945 |
$119.23 |
$3.49 |
+3.0% |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? |
No |
143 |
0.835 |
$119.13 |
$19.39 |
+19.4% |
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? |
No |
127 |
0.925 |
$117.72 |
$3.63 |
+3.2% |
| Will François Ruffin advance to the second round of the next French presidential election? |
No |
119 |
0.978 |
$116.43 |
$6.37 |
+5.8% |
| Will Cook Islands Party win the most seats in the 2026 Cook Islands parliamentary elections? |
Yes |
124 |
0.935 |
$116.15 |
$15.53 |
+15.4% |
| Xi Jinping out before 2027? |
No |
119 |
0.954 |
$113.91 |
$3.65 |
+3.3% |
| Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? |
No |
124 |
0.915 |
$113.80 |
$2.10 |
+1.9% |
| Cuban regime falls in 2026? |
No |
125 |
0.905 |
$113.12 |
$28.22 |
+33.2% |
| Will Syria join the Abraham Accords before 2027? |
No |
123 |
0.914 |
$112.83 |
$12.77 |
+12.8% |
| Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027? |
No |
128 |
0.880 |
$112.21 |
$10.09 |
+9.9% |
| Will Trump meet with Jair Bolsonaro in 2026? |
No |
118 |
0.945 |
$111.53 |
$3.41 |
+3.2% |
| Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? |
No |
127 |
0.875 |
$111.52 |
$6.41 |
+6.1% |
| Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027? |
No |
130 |
0.855 |
$111.52 |
$5.87 |
+5.6% |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff? |
Yes |
115 |
0.968 |
$111.44 |
$0.86 |
+0.8% |
| Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026? |
No |
116 |
0.955 |
$111.16 |
$0.58 |
+0.5% |
| Will Delcy Rodríguez be the de facto leader of Venezuela at the end of 2026? |
Yes |
121 |
0.915 |
$110.90 |
$0.55 |
+0.5% |
| Will Jordan Bardella advance to the second round of the next French presidential election? |
No |
120 |
0.920 |
$110.59 |
$0.00 |
+0.0% |
| Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? |
No |
119 |
0.926 |
$110.23 |
$0.23 |
+0.2% |
| Will Prabowo Subianto cease to be President of Indonesia by December 31, 2026? |
No |
118 |
0.930 |
$109.50 |
$3.95 |
+3.7% |
| Meloni out as Prime Minister of Italy by December 31? |
No |
119 |
0.920 |
$109.09 |
$3.50 |
+3.3% |
| Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? |
No |
155 |
0.702 |
$108.91 |
$-1.16 |
-1.1% |
| Will Iran recognize Israel by December 31? |
No |
114 |
0.955 |
$108.57 |
$3.51 |
+3.3% |
| Will Kuwait join the Abraham Accords before 2027? |
No |
115 |
0.945 |
$108.44 |
$2.87 |
+2.7% |