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Trader leaderboard/MollyParkets

MollyParkets

0xf02105d60083d7d74d7e0f9785d79e06137cdf56
Scoped to Politics — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
−$1,029
Politics · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
−$129
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-10.7%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
35%
96W / 176L · 65 open
Win Return (30d)
36%
119W / 212L · 6 open
Trades (30d)
337
across 94 markets · ~4 per market
EV / position
−$18.38
avg win $44 · loss $96
Profit Factor
0.57
$1,366 won / $2,395 lost
Reward / Risk
0.46
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$741
peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 49.6% 924W/938L 390 $85,524
🎬 Culture 26.0% 33W/94L 61 $5,555
🏛 Politics 27.2% 37W/99L 53 $6,280
⚽ Sports 100.0% 24W/0L 20 $1,556
🤖 Tech 7 $162
💵 Economy 77.8% 7W/2L 2 $797
₿ Crypto 0.0% 0W/2L 1 $180

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

50 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31? No 955 0.910 $869.05 $353.43 +68.5%
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31? Yes 800 0.765 $612.00 $60.00 +10.9%
Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? Yes 730 0.625 $456.25 $-119.85 -20.8%
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No 300 0.835 $250.50 $10.50 +4.4%
Will Super Typhoon Dolphin hit China? No 1,200 0.180 $216.00 $-176.00 -44.9%
Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary? Yes 210 0.997 $209.29 $28.87 +16.0%
Jeanine Pirro out as D.C. U.S. Attorney by August 6? No 200 0.966 $193.10 $25.10 +14.9%
Will Jared Kushner attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026? Yes 300 0.465 $139.50 $-115.50 -45.3%
Will "Woman" be in the headlines this week? Yes 305 0.145 $44.26 $-52.35 -54.2%
Will "Japan" be in the headlines this week? No 62 0.655 $40.61 $2.79 +7.4%
Will Trump say "Red Card" in August? No 62 0.530 $32.86 $-16.74 -33.8%
Will Trump say "Pelosi" in August? No 62 0.495 $30.69 $-10.23 -25.0%
Will Trump say "Slob" in August? No 62 0.450 $27.90 $-3.10 -10.0%
Will "Earthquake" or "Quake" be in the headlines this week? No 31 0.765 $23.71 $-0.46 -1.9%
Will Trump post "Rigged" on Truth Social this week? No 62 0.380 $23.56 $-1.86 -7.3%
Will Trump say "Ass" in August? No 93 0.250 $23.25 $-11.78 -33.6%
Will Trump say "Trump Media" in August? No 42 0.500 $21.00 $-14.28 -40.5%
Will Trump say "Gay" in August? No 31 0.600 $18.60 $-4.96 -21.1%
Will Trump post "Uranium" on Truth Social this week? No 31 0.565 $17.51 $-7.60 -30.3%
Will Trump say "No No No" this week? Yes 31 0.550 $17.05 $0.93 +5.8%
Will Trump say "Trump Tower" in August? No 21 0.800 $16.80 $-0.21 -1.2%
Will Elon post "Texas" on X this week? Yes 31 0.540 $16.74 $0.62 +3.8%
Will Trump say "State of the Art" in August? No 62 0.255 $15.81 $-22.01 -58.2%
Will Trump say "Trump Plan" in August? No 21 0.730 $15.33 $-1.68 -9.9%
Will Trump say "Trump Kennedy Center" or "Trump-Kennedy Center" in August? No 21 0.700 $14.70 $-2.52 -14.6%