| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? |
No |
11,100 |
0.790 |
$8,774.55 |
$3,224.55 |
+58.1% |
| Will Ukraine target Moscow by August 7, 2026? |
Yes |
3,242 |
0.996 |
$3,229.45 |
$79.59 |
+2.5% |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? |
Yes |
11,100 |
0.209 |
$2,325.45 |
$-3,224.55 |
-58.1% |
| Will Russia capture all of Chasiv Yar by September 30? |
No |
1,000 |
0.650 |
$650.00 |
$-8.00 |
-1.2% |
| Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? |
No |
795 |
0.455 |
$361.93 |
$-60.52 |
-14.3% |
| Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by September 30, 2026? |
No |
350 |
0.815 |
$285.21 |
$-7.78 |
-2.7% |
| Will Russia capture Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by December 31? |
Yes |
580 |
0.375 |
$217.62 |
$-10.29 |
-4.5% |
| Will Russia capture Vodianske by September 30? |
No |
250 |
0.770 |
$192.50 |
$7.50 |
+4.1% |
| NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? |
Yes |
749 |
0.245 |
$183.41 |
$-5.13 |
-2.7% |
| AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027? |
Yes |
194 |
0.895 |
$174.00 |
$11.64 |
+7.2% |
| Will Russia capture Bilytske by August 31, 2026? |
No |
200 |
0.760 |
$152.00 |
$-2.00 |
-1.3% |
| Another NATO Article 4 invocation by August 31, 2026? |
No |
132 |
0.925 |
$122.52 |
$14.33 |
+13.2% |
| Will LIV Golf announce shutdown in 2026? |
Yes |
168 |
0.599 |
$100.40 |
$7.00 |
+7.5% |
| Will Russia enter Dopropillia by December 31, 2026? |
Yes |
135 |
0.740 |
$99.90 |
$36.10 |
+56.6% |
| Will Russia enter Orikhiv by September 30? |
Yes |
100 |
0.979 |
$97.85 |
$5.85 |
+6.4% |
| Russia-Ukraine peace talks by September 30, 2026? |
No |
147 |
0.635 |
$93.14 |
$32.78 |
+54.3% |
| Another NATO Article 4 invocation by October 31, 2026? |
Yes |
391 |
0.225 |
$88.00 |
$-12.54 |
-12.5% |
| Another NATO Article 4 invocation by December 31, 2026? |
Yes |
345 |
0.240 |
$82.80 |
$-34.70 |
-29.5% |
| Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026? |
Yes |
198 |
0.300 |
$59.40 |
$-15.44 |
-20.6% |
| Metamask FDV above $100M one day after launch? |
No |
61 |
0.920 |
$56.55 |
$20.12 |
+55.2% |
| Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30? |
Yes |
60 |
0.790 |
$47.40 |
$0.60 |
+1.3% |
| Will Russia capture all of Chasiv Yar by December 31? |
Yes |
40 |
0.725 |
$29.00 |
$7.00 |
+31.8% |
| Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026? |
No |
78 |
0.365 |
$28.40 |
$8.17 |
+40.4% |
| Zcash's Orchard pool confirmed exploited? |
Yes |
212 |
0.115 |
$24.41 |
$19.00 |
+351.5% |
| Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026? |
Yes |
28 |
0.625 |
$17.71 |
$3.44 |
+24.1% |