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Trader leaderboard/wagmiser

wagmiser

0xef6278f3e13d4a516fbb14b0d7ad2649ce990179
Scoped to Politics — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
−$375
Politics · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$46
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-5.9%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
51%
66W / 63L · 9 open
Win Return (30d)
53%
73W / 65L
Trades (30d)
138
across 27 markets · ~5 per market
EV / position
−$16.32
avg win $102 · loss $92
Profit Factor
0.71
$917 won / $1,292 lost
Reward / Risk
1.10
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$467
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · all-time $659,433

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 55.6% 104W/83L 55 $23,239
🏛 Politics 40.0% 24W/36L 18 $6,815
🎬 Culture 40.0% 24W/36L 17 $3,270
💵 Economy 2 $2,365
₿ Crypto 1 $1

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

14 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Fed rate hike in 2026? Yes 2,197 0.625 $1,373.13 $-98.86 -6.7%
Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes 2,203 0.595 $1,311.02 $11.02 +0.8%
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? No 1,140 0.961 $1,094.87 $-5.13 -0.5%
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Yes 1,000 0.886 $886.50 $-6.50 -0.7%
Will MetaMask launch a token by December 31, 2026? No 733 0.930 $682.02 $82.02 +13.7%
Will Total Crypto Market Cap hit 3.75T in 2026? No 617 0.935 $577.02 $14.83 +2.6%
Will MetaMask launch a token by September 30, 2026? No 490 0.976 $477.97 $2.12 +0.4%
Ethereum all time high by September 30, 2026? No 431 0.984 $423.94 $5.24 +1.3%
Will Total Crypto Market Cap hit 4T in 2026? No 349 0.964 $336.12 $8.20 +2.5%
Will Total Crypto Market Cap hit 3.5T in 2026? No 296 0.920 $272.17 $26.63 +10.8%
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? No 284 0.905 $256.87 $18.45 +7.7%
Will Hyperliquid perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026? No 200 0.880 $176.00 $0.00 +0.0%
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 14, 2026? Yes 22 0.785 $17.07 $5.33 +45.4%
Will the Bitcoin Volatility Index hit 70 by August 31? Yes 20 0.055 $1.10 $-0.10 -8.3%