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Trader leaderboard/frostyhopper

frostyhopper

0xef4a9530c9db0c24344a3474d2f2cecbe7e45eeb
Scoped to Crypto — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
+$1
Crypto · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
−$12
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
+0.2%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
100%
14W / 0L · 34 open
Win Return (30d)
67%
32W / 16L
Trades (30d)
48
across 13 markets · ~4 per market
EV / position
+$0.62
avg win $1
Profit Factor
no losses yet
Reward / Risk
need wins & losses
Max Drawdown
$0
no drawdown
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $1,815 · all-time $50,094

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 90.9% 240W/24L 105 $3,683
🏛 Politics 100.0% 5W/0L 10 $248
💵 Economy 100.0% 4W/0L 10 $184
₿ Crypto 8 $128
⚽ Sports 80.8% 21W/5L 5 $208
🎬 Culture 3 $40
🤖 Tech 3 $56

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

50 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by September 30, 2026? No 165 0.964 $159.04 $15.04 +10.4%
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? No 109 0.972 $106.21 $2.21 +2.1%
Will Base launch a token by September 30, 2026? No 99 0.978 $96.58 $0.58 +0.6%
Trump out as President by August 31? No 97 0.993 $96.11 $0.11 +0.1%
Will Tim Walz resign by December 31, 2026? No 69 0.945 $64.75 $0.74 +1.2%
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the de facto leader of Venezuela at the end of 2026? Yes 53 0.915 $48.33 $0.33 +0.7%
Will Unit launch a token by December 31, 2026? No 34 0.966 $32.80 $0.80 +2.5%
Will Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried before 2027? No 34 0.956 $32.39 $0.39 +1.2%
New "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31? No 34 0.955 $32.09 $0.09 +0.3%
Major CEX insolvent in 2026? No 33 0.955 $31.73 $-0.27 -0.8%
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $800B by December 31? No 38 0.825 $31.15 $-0.85 -2.7%
Will Clarence Thomas announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? No 35 0.850 $29.35 $-2.65 -8.3%
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No 30 0.945 $28.35 $3.15 +12.5%
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? No 29 0.885 $25.29 $1.29 +5.4%
Will Nebius Group be acquired before 2027? No 27 0.936 $25.16 $1.16 +4.8%
Will Zoom Video Communications be acquired before 2027? No 28 0.900 $24.89 $0.89 +3.7%
Opensea FDV above $2B one day after launch? No 26 0.950 $24.52 $0.52 +2.2%
Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled? Yes 25 0.963 $24.25 $0.25 +1.1%
Situational Awareness announces fund wind-down by August 31, 2026? No 24 0.990 $24.22 $0.22 +0.9%
Will Tempo launch a token by December 31, 2026? No 25 0.935 $23.84 $-0.16 -0.7%
Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026? No 26 0.895 $23.50 $-0.50 -2.1%
Will Trump pardon Do Kwon before 2027? No 17 0.989 $16.62 $0.62 +3.8%
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2? Yes 16 1.000 $16.16 $0.16 +1.0%
Will Dreamcash launch a token by September 30, 2026? No 16 0.985 $16.02 $0.02 +0.2%
Will a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31? No 18 0.905 $15.91 $-0.09 -0.5%