PnL (30d)

−$13

last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

−$8

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

-0.2%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

92%

45W / 4L · 223 open

Win Return (30d)

96%

241W / 10L · 21 open

Trades (30d)

272

across 22 markets · ~12 per market

EV / position

−$1.45

avg win $1 · loss $7

Profit Factor

0.33

$7 won / $20 lost

Reward / Risk

0.17

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$15

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	91.8% 45W/4L	22	$11,124
🏛 Politics	—	1	$184
₿ Crypto	—	1	$277

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

5 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No	600	0.962	$576.90	$-3.30	-0.6%
Will Ethereum reach $8,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	300	0.979	$293.54	$0.15	+0.1%
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2?	Yes	50	1.000	$49.98	$0.42	+0.9%
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 3?	Yes	20	0.999	$19.97	$0.59	+3.0%
Will Ethereum reach $7,500 by December 31, 2026?	No	16	0.975	$15.91	$0.02	+0.2%