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Trader leaderboard/Grafschokola2

Grafschokola2

0xef340ebd9aae1b4dd825c3dff220b7272aa21d61
PnL (30d)
−$149
last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
−$18
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-7.3%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
57%
46W / 34L · 9 open
Win Return (30d)
54%
46W / 39L · 4 open
Trades (30d)
89
across 37 markets · ~2 per market
EV / position
−$4.38
avg win $28 · loss $46
Profit Factor
0.78
$540 won / $689 lost
Reward / Risk
0.62
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$18
peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 57.5% 46W/34L 37 $3,566
🏛 Politics 1 $22

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

12 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will Solana dip to $40 by December 31, 2026? No 400 0.770 $307.99 $94.00 +43.9%
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? No 500 0.455 $227.50 $7.50 +3.4%
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? No 200 0.855 $171.00 $31.00 +22.1%
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026? No 200 0.845 $168.99 $47.00 +38.5%
Will Solana dip to $60 by December 31, 2026? No 443 0.344 $152.18 $27.51 +22.1%
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? No 100 0.755 $75.49 $23.50 +45.2%
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No 100 0.745 $74.50 $22.50 +43.3%
Will Karoline Leavitt leave the Trump administration before 2027? No 93 0.795 $73.86 $20.90 +39.5%
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes 260 0.117 $30.29 $-12.05 -28.5%
Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? Yes 100 0.254 $25.40 $-11.40 -31.0%
Will Solana hit $60 or $140 first? $140 121 0.208 $25.12 $-19.77 -44.0%
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes 100 0.155 $15.50 $-6.50 -29.5%