PnL (30d)

−$12

last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

+$3

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

-12.7%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

38%

3W / 5L · 3 open

Win Return (30d)

55%

6W / 5L

Trades (30d)

11

across 8 markets · ~1 per market

EV / position

−$1.94

avg win $4 · loss $5

Profit Factor

0.38

$7 won / $19 lost

Reward / Risk

0.76

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

$0

no drawdown

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	37.5% 3W/5L	8	$107
₿ Crypto	—	1	$3

Open positions

6 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	919	0.755	$693.59	$190.05	+37.7%
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	650	0.645	$419.27	$66.53	+18.9%
Puffpaw FDV above $200M one day after launch?	No	244	0.865	$211.05	$2.15	+1.0%
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	200	0.845	$169.00	$31.25	+22.7%
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	335	0.455	$152.43	$-3.52	-2.3%
Iran leadership change by September 30?	No	48	0.945	$45.36	$3.12	+7.4%