PnL (30d)

−$33

last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

−$11

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

-4.2%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

49%

121W / 128L · 6 open

Win Return (30d)

48%

121W / 132L · 2 open

Trades (30d)

255

across 103 markets · ~2 per market

EV / position

−$0.32

avg win $2 · loss $3

Profit Factor

0.77

$111 won / $144 lost

Reward / Risk

0.85

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$46

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	48.6% 121W/128L	103	$1,391
⚽ Sports	45.5% 20W/24L	12	$500
₿ Crypto	57.1% 4W/3L	4	$26
🏛 Politics	100.0% 5W/0L	3	$54
💵 Economy	100.0% 9W/0L	2	$75
🎬 Culture	0.0% 0W/1L	2	$2

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

2 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	Yes	143	0.125	$17.83	$-59.60	-77.0%
Will Masoud Pezeshkian be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	Yes	604	0.004	$2.11	$-1.88	-47.1%