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Trader leaderboard/churna

churna

0xed116e6d4190e5c09f950a893074b5a5aef710be
PnL (30d)
−$87
last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$45
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-0.4%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
43%
10W / 13L · 59 open
Win Return (30d)
60%
49W / 33L
Trades (30d)
82
across 29 markets · ~3 per market
EV / position
−$9.65
avg win $17 · loss $44
Profit Factor
0.50
$87 won / $174 lost
Reward / Risk
0.40
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$13
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $1,500 · all-time $772,529

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 43.5% 10W/13L 29 $29,304
💵 Economy 3 $4,409
₿ Crypto 2 $561

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

22 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will Base launch a token by September 30, 2026? No 5,920 0.978 $5,786.39 $121.37 +2.1%
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Yes 3,575 0.886 $3,169.41 $-16.59 -0.5%
Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026? No 3,042 0.895 $2,722.53 $554.15 +25.6%
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes 3,089 0.865 $2,672.18 $113.69 +4.4%
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026? No 2,219 0.955 $2,119.47 $144.26 +7.3%
Bitcoin all time high by September 30, 2026? No 2,063 0.985 $2,030.71 $-5.15 -0.3%
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? No 2,078 0.961 $1,995.45 $-4.55 -0.2%
Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes 2,850 0.595 $1,695.51 $14.25 +0.8%
Trump out as President before 2027? No 1,600 0.935 $1,496.00 $16.00 +1.1%
Fed rate hike in 2026? Yes 1,458 0.625 $910.98 $-51.01 -5.3%
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No 800 0.925 $740.00 $44.00 +6.3%
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? No 699 0.963 $672.62 $13.22 +2.0%
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026? No 568 0.885 $502.87 $2.84 +0.6%
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by August 31, 2026? No 500 0.964 $481.75 $41.75 +9.5%
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting? No 408 0.991 $404.29 $4.29 +1.1%
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No 404 0.835 $337.50 $14.15 +4.4%
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? No 330 0.915 $301.65 $1.65 +0.5%
Will Zcash dip to $100 by December 31, 2026? No 220 0.935 $205.70 $5.70 +2.9%
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by August 31, 2026? No 200 0.989 $197.70 $15.70 +8.6%
Will Abiy Ahmed be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia? Yes 20 0.958 $19.16 $-0.42 -2.1%
Will N’Kiyla “Jasmine” Thomas be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Oklahoma? No 150 0.060 $9.00 $-4.50 -33.3%
Will Cait Conley win the NY-17 Democratic Primary by less than 5%? Yes 205 0.001 $0.10 $-12.20 -99.2%